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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.4
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Illinois1.60+0.46vs Predicted
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2Miami University0.52+0.27vs Predicted
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3Marquette University-0.55+0.22vs Predicted
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4University of Notre Dame-1.43+0.05vs Predicted
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5University of Illinois-1.33-1.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.46University of Illinois1.6063.2%1st Place
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2.27Miami University0.5222.5%1st Place
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3.22Marquette University-0.557.2%1st Place
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4.05University of Notre Dame-1.433.0%1st Place
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3.99University of Illinois-1.334.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tarkan Bolat | 63.2% | 28.4% | 7.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Katy Schroeder | 22.5% | 39.6% | 27.5% | 9.0% | 1.4% |
| Etain McKinney | 7.2% | 17.6% | 34.1% | 28.0% | 13.1% |
| Collin Kemper | 3.0% | 6.6% | 16.2% | 30.4% | 43.8% |
| Katie Benstead | 4.0% | 7.8% | 14.9% | 31.6% | 41.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.