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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania3.51+6.89vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.49+5.99vs Predicted
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3University of Virginia2.39+9.83vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.43+4.29vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34+3.62vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.52+1.94vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.95+3.64vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.32+0.49vs Predicted
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9Fordham University3.52-1.19vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University3.47-1.92vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College1.87+3.80vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy3.44-3.59vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University3.20-3.46vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont3.51-6.17vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-4.02vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.74-4.73vs Predicted
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17George Washington University2.79-6.09vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin2.11-4.03vs Predicted
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19U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.76-3.93vs Predicted
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20Princeton University0.31-1.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.89University of Pennsylvania3.510.1%1st Place
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7.99Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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12.83University of Virginia2.390.0%1st Place
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8.29Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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8.62St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.1%1st Place
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7.94Tufts University3.520.1%1st Place
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10.64University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
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8.49Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.320.1%1st Place
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7.81Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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8.08Roger Williams University3.470.1%1st Place
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14.8SUNY Maritime College1.870.0%1st Place
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8.41U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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9.54Old Dominion University3.200.1%1st Place
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7.83University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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10.98U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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11.27Bowdoin College2.740.0%1st Place
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10.91George Washington University2.790.0%1st Place
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13.97University of Wisconsin2.110.0%1st Place
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15.07U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.760.0%1st Place
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18.65Princeton University0.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maximiliano Agnese | 6.7% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Scott Houck | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Craven | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 3.3% |
| Marek Zaleski | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Willem Sandberg | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Elliott Morrill | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Will Holz | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Connor Needham | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Arthur Libby | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 14.7% | 20.0% | 8.5% |
| Michael Popp | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Daniel LOCHNER | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Jordan Factor | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Milliken | 3.9% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 0.6% |
| Tom Peabody | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 0.9% |
| Daniel DelBello | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 0.8% |
| Soren Walljasper | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 13.5% | 13.5% | 5.8% |
| Charles Skord | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 14.1% | 22.9% | 9.3% |
| Adrija Navarro | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 12.2% | 68.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.