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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.4
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Illinois1.60+0.40vs Predicted
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2Miami University0.52+0.26vs Predicted
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3Marquette University-0.55+0.29vs Predicted
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4University of Notre Dame-1.43+0.07vs Predicted
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5University of Illinois-1.33-1.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.4University of Illinois1.6067.1%1st Place
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2.26Miami University0.5220.4%1st Place
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3.29Marquette University-0.556.7%1st Place
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4.07University of Notre Dame-1.432.9%1st Place
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3.98University of Illinois-1.332.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tarkan Bolat | 67.1% | 26.5% | 5.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Katy Schroeder | 20.4% | 44.4% | 25.1% | 8.9% | 1.2% |
| Etain McKinney | 6.7% | 15.4% | 35.2% | 27.7% | 15.0% |
| Collin Kemper | 2.9% | 6.3% | 16.1% | 29.9% | 44.6% |
| Katie Benstead | 2.9% | 7.4% | 18.1% | 32.6% | 39.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.