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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34+7.61vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont3.51+5.85vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.43+5.36vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.44+4.16vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.49+2.96vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University3.20+3.36vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.47+1.35vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+2.75vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania3.51-1.27vs Predicted
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10University of Virginia2.39+2.81vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.95-0.51vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.52-3.96vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.74-1.34vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.76+1.17vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College1.87-0.37vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin2.11-2.18vs Predicted
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17Fordham University3.52-9.32vs Predicted
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18Princeton University0.31+0.63vs Predicted
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19Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.32-10.31vs Predicted
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20George Washington University2.79-8.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.61St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.1%1st Place
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7.85University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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8.36Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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8.16U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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7.96Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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9.36Old Dominion University3.200.1%1st Place
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8.35Roger Williams University3.470.1%1st Place
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10.75U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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7.73University of Pennsylvania3.510.1%1st Place
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12.81University of Virginia2.390.0%1st Place
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10.49University of Rhode Island2.950.1%1st Place
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8.04Tufts University3.520.1%1st Place
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11.66Bowdoin College2.740.0%1st Place
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15.17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.760.0%1st Place
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14.63SUNY Maritime College1.870.0%1st Place
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13.82University of Wisconsin2.110.0%1st Place
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7.68Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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18.63Princeton University0.310.0%1st Place
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8.69Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.320.1%1st Place
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11.23George Washington University2.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Clemence | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Jordan Factor | 8.4% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Marek Zaleski | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Michael Popp | 8.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Scott Houck | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Daniel LOCHNER | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Connor Needham | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Milliken | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 3.3% | 0.6% |
| Maximiliano Agnese | 6.6% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Craven | 2.6% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 2.1% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 5.0% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Willem Sandberg | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Tom Peabody | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 0.7% |
| Charles Skord | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 14.0% | 20.4% | 11.2% |
| Arthur Libby | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 12.5% | 21.4% | 8.5% |
| Soren Walljasper | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 14.9% | 5.4% |
| Will Holz | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Adrija Navarro | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 5.6% | 11.4% | 68.8% |
| Elliott Morrill | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Daniel DelBello | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 1.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.