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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Illinois1.60+0.43vs Predicted
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2Marquette University-0.55+1.26vs Predicted
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3Miami University0.52-0.72vs Predicted
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4University of Notre Dame-1.43+0.04vs Predicted
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5University of Illinois-1.33-1.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.43University of Illinois1.6065.7%1st Place
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3.26Marquette University-0.556.8%1st Place
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2.28Miami University0.5221.3%1st Place
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4.04University of Notre Dame-1.432.9%1st Place
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3.99University of Illinois-1.333.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tarkan Bolat | 65.7% | 27.0% | 6.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Etain McKinney | 6.8% | 16.4% | 34.5% | 28.4% | 13.8% |
| Katy Schroeder | 21.3% | 41.7% | 26.2% | 9.2% | 1.7% |
| Collin Kemper | 2.9% | 7.5% | 16.1% | 29.4% | 44.0% |
| Katie Benstead | 3.2% | 7.3% | 16.8% | 32.1% | 40.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.