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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont3.51+6.87vs Predicted
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2Fordham University3.52+5.83vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.79+8.24vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.52+3.89vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania3.51+2.88vs Predicted
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6University of Virginia2.39+6.95vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.95+3.60vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.44+0.02vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.32-0.38vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+0.98vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.49-2.95vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University3.47-3.68vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.76+2.44vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University3.20-4.85vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.74-3.72vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College1.87-1.36vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34-8.54vs Predicted
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18Harvard University3.43-9.68vs Predicted
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19University of Wisconsin2.11-5.18vs Predicted
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20Princeton University0.31-1.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.87University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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7.83Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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11.24George Washington University2.790.0%1st Place
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7.89Tufts University3.520.1%1st Place
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7.88University of Pennsylvania3.510.1%1st Place
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12.95University of Virginia2.390.0%1st Place
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10.6University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
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8.02U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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8.62Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.320.1%1st Place
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10.98U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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8.05Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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8.32Roger Williams University3.470.1%1st Place
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15.44U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.760.0%1st Place
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9.15Old Dominion University3.200.1%1st Place
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11.28Bowdoin College2.740.0%1st Place
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14.64SUNY Maritime College1.870.0%1st Place
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8.46St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.1%1st Place
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8.32Harvard University3.430.0%1st Place
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13.82University of Wisconsin2.110.0%1st Place
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18.63Princeton University0.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Factor | 7.8% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Will Holz | 9.2% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Daniel DelBello | 4.1% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 0.8% |
| Willem Sandberg | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Maximiliano Agnese | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Craven | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 8.0% | 3.2% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Michael Popp | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Elliott Morrill | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Bradley Milliken | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 1.1% |
| Scott Houck | 8.5% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Connor Needham | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Charles Skord | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 15.8% | 22.2% | 12.6% |
| Daniel LOCHNER | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Tom Peabody | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 0.5% |
| Arthur Libby | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 10.5% | 15.5% | 18.4% | 8.1% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Marek Zaleski | 4.8% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Soren Walljasper | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 14.0% | 14.2% | 4.5% |
| Adrija Navarro | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 12.0% | 67.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.