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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.47+7.21vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.49+6.15vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.52+5.15vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.76+11.31vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College3.52+2.99vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34+2.93vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.43+1.72vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.32+0.60vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont3.51-1.05vs Predicted
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10University of Virginia2.39+2.99vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.95-0.38vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College1.87+3.06vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University3.20-3.26vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin2.11+0.03vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy3.44-6.63vs Predicted
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16George Washington University2.79-4.82vs Predicted
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17Fordham University3.52-9.13vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania3.51-9.80vs Predicted
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19Princeton University0.31-0.38vs Predicted
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20U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-8.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.21Roger Williams University3.470.1%1st Place
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8.15Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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8.15Tufts University3.520.1%1st Place
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15.31U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.760.0%1st Place
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7.99Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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8.93St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.1%1st Place
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8.72Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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8.6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.320.1%1st Place
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7.95University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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12.99University of Virginia2.390.0%1st Place
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10.62University of Rhode Island2.950.1%1st Place
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15.06SUNY Maritime College1.870.0%1st Place
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9.74Old Dominion University3.200.1%1st Place
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14.03University of Wisconsin2.110.0%1st Place
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8.37U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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11.18George Washington University2.790.0%1st Place
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7.87Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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8.2University of Pennsylvania3.510.1%1st Place
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18.62Princeton University0.310.0%1st Place
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11.28U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Needham | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Scott Houck | 8.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Willem Sandberg | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Charles Skord | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 13.0% | 22.7% | 11.8% |
| Michael Croteau | 6.4% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Marek Zaleski | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Elliott Morrill | 5.4% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Jordan Factor | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Craven | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 8.0% | 3.5% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Arthur Libby | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 14.8% | 23.2% | 8.3% |
| Daniel LOCHNER | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Soren Walljasper | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 15.3% | 15.2% | 5.1% |
| Michael Popp | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Daniel DelBello | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 0.7% |
| Will Holz | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Maximiliano Agnese | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Adrija Navarro | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 6.4% | 12.7% | 66.9% |
| Bradley Milliken | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 1.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.