← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Vermont3.51+7.03vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+9.13vs Predicted
-
3George Washington University2.79+8.40vs Predicted
-
4Roger Williams University3.47+4.23vs Predicted
-
5University of Rhode Island2.95+5.45vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University3.52+2.12vs Predicted
-
7Bowdoin College3.52+1.31vs Predicted
-
8Dartmouth College3.49-0.09vs Predicted
-
9University of Pennsylvania3.51-1.06vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Naval Academy3.44-1.60vs Predicted
-
11Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.32-2.00vs Predicted
-
12University of Virginia2.39+1.09vs Predicted
-
13St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34-3.81vs Predicted
-
14SUNY Maritime College1.87+0.90vs Predicted
-
15Old Dominion University3.20-5.59vs Predicted
-
16Harvard University3.43-7.63vs Predicted
-
17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.76-1.78vs Predicted
-
18Fordham University3.52-9.85vs Predicted
-
19University of Wisconsin2.11-4.98vs Predicted
-
20Princeton University0.31-1.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.03University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
-
11.13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
-
11.4George Washington University2.790.0%1st Place
-
8.23Roger Williams University3.470.1%1st Place
-
10.45University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
-
8.12Tufts University3.520.1%1st Place
-
8.31Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
-
7.91Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
-
7.94University of Pennsylvania3.510.1%1st Place
-
8.4U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
-
9.0Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.320.1%1st Place
-
13.09University of Virginia2.390.0%1st Place
-
9.19St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.1%1st Place
-
14.9SUNY Maritime College1.870.0%1st Place
-
9.41Old Dominion University3.200.1%1st Place
-
8.37Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
-
15.22U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.760.0%1st Place
-
8.15Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
-
14.02University of Wisconsin2.110.0%1st Place
-
18.7Princeton University0.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Factor | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Milliken | 4.7% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 9.4% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| Daniel DelBello | 4.2% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 1.0% |
| Connor Needham | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Willem Sandberg | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Michael Croteau | 6.5% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Scott Houck | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Maximiliano Agnese | 6.7% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Michael Popp | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Elliott Morrill | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Craven | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 12.9% | 9.8% | 2.3% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Arthur Libby | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 13.8% | 19.5% | 9.9% |
| Daniel LOCHNER | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Marek Zaleski | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Charles Skord | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 14.7% | 21.7% | 10.0% |
| Will Holz | 6.1% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Soren Walljasper | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 15.4% | 14.8% | 4.9% |
| Adrija Navarro | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 12.2% | 69.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.