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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.32+7.88vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.79+9.30vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont3.51+5.24vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.47+4.22vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.44+3.30vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania3.51+2.13vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.49+1.47vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.52-0.19vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University3.20+0.36vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34-1.17vs Predicted
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11Fordham University3.52-2.82vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.76+3.42vs Predicted
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13University of Virginia2.39+0.30vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-2.91vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin2.11-1.03vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island2.95-5.51vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College1.87-2.23vs Predicted
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18Harvard University3.43-9.48vs Predicted
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19Bowdoin College3.52-11.01vs Predicted
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20Princeton University0.31-1.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.88Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.320.1%1st Place
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11.3George Washington University2.790.0%1st Place
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8.24University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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8.22Roger Williams University3.470.1%1st Place
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8.3U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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8.13University of Pennsylvania3.510.1%1st Place
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8.47Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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7.81Tufts University3.520.1%1st Place
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9.36Old Dominion University3.200.0%1st Place
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8.83St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.1%1st Place
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8.18Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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15.42U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.760.0%1st Place
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13.3University of Virginia2.390.0%1st Place
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11.09U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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13.97University of Wisconsin2.110.0%1st Place
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10.49University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
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14.77SUNY Maritime College1.870.0%1st Place
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8.52Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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7.99Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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18.71Princeton University0.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elliott Morrill | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Daniel DelBello | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 0.5% |
| Jordan Factor | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Connor Needham | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Michael Popp | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Maximiliano Agnese | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Scott Houck | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Willem Sandberg | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Daniel LOCHNER | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Will Holz | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Charles Skord | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 14.8% | 22.6% | 11.4% |
| Christopher Craven | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 4.1% |
| Bradley Milliken | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 0.5% |
| Soren Walljasper | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 14.1% | 15.7% | 5.5% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 0.2% |
| Arthur Libby | 2.0% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 11.9% | 14.5% | 17.6% | 7.9% |
| Marek Zaleski | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Michael Croteau | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Adrija Navarro | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 6.6% | 11.1% | 68.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.