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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College3.52+7.00vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania3.51+6.02vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.44+5.51vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.47+4.18vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+6.04vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.49+2.21vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.43+1.69vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34+0.55vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont3.51-1.11vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.32-1.14vs Predicted
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11George Washington University2.79+0.26vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University3.20-2.36vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.95-2.11vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin2.11-0.04vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College1.87-0.32vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.12-2.08vs Predicted
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17Tufts University3.52-9.14vs Predicted
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18Fordham University3.25-8.72vs Predicted
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19University of Virginia2.39-6.18vs Predicted
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20Princeton University-1.37-0.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.0Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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8.02University of Pennsylvania3.510.1%1st Place
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8.51U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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8.18Roger Williams University3.470.1%1st Place
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11.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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8.21Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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8.69Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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8.55St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.1%1st Place
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7.89University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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8.86Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.320.1%1st Place
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11.26George Washington University2.790.0%1st Place
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9.64Old Dominion University3.200.1%1st Place
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10.89University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
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13.96University of Wisconsin2.110.0%1st Place
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14.68SUNY Maritime College1.870.0%1st Place
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13.92U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.120.0%1st Place
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7.86Tufts University3.520.1%1st Place
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9.28Fordham University3.250.0%1st Place
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12.82University of Virginia2.390.0%1st Place
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19.74Princeton University-1.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Croteau | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Maximiliano Agnese | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Michael Popp | 6.9% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Connor Needham | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Milliken | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 3.3% | 0.2% |
| Scott Houck | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Marek Zaleski | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Factor | 6.6% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Elliott Morrill | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Daniel DelBello | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 0.6% |
| Daniel LOCHNER | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 0.1% |
| Soren Walljasper | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 13.9% | 18.9% | 1.8% |
| Arthur Libby | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 12.9% | 29.1% | 1.4% |
| Samuel Watterson | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 14.4% | 19.9% | 0.9% |
| Willem Sandberg | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Craven | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 13.0% | 10.4% | 0.4% |
| Henry Pease | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 94.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.