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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.32+7.82vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont3.51+5.95vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.47+5.39vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College1.87+10.86vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College3.52+2.92vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.95+4.65vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.44+1.60vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+2.91vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.79+2.11vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.52-1.99vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania3.51-2.91vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.49-3.68vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University3.20-3.29vs Predicted
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14Fordham University3.25-4.84vs Predicted
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15University of Virginia2.39-2.17vs Predicted
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16Harvard University3.43-7.64vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34-8.42vs Predicted
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18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.12-3.95vs Predicted
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19University of Wisconsin2.11-5.08vs Predicted
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20Princeton University-1.37-0.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.82Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.320.1%1st Place
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7.95University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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8.39Roger Williams University3.470.1%1st Place
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14.86SUNY Maritime College1.870.0%1st Place
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7.92Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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10.65University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
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8.6U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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10.91U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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11.11George Washington University2.790.0%1st Place
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8.01Tufts University3.520.1%1st Place
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8.09University of Pennsylvania3.510.1%1st Place
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8.32Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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9.71Old Dominion University3.200.1%1st Place
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9.16Fordham University3.250.1%1st Place
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12.83University of Virginia2.390.0%1st Place
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8.36Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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8.58St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.1%1st Place
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14.05U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.120.0%1st Place
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13.92University of Wisconsin2.110.0%1st Place
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19.73Princeton University-1.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elliott Morrill | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Jordan Factor | 8.4% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Connor Needham | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Arthur Libby | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 9.9% | 14.8% | 27.2% | 2.5% |
| Michael Croteau | 6.4% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 3.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 0.2% |
| Michael Popp | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Milliken | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 0.4% |
| Daniel DelBello | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 0.3% |
| Willem Sandberg | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Maximiliano Agnese | 8.7% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Scott Houck | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Daniel LOCHNER | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Craven | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 0.5% |
| Marek Zaleski | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Watterson | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 14.2% | 18.4% | 1.1% |
| Soren Walljasper | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 15.1% | 18.7% | 0.8% |
| Henry Pease | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 93.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.