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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont3.51+7.08vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.52+6.00vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34+5.93vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.44+4.30vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.79+6.11vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.49+2.17vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.47+1.49vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College3.52-0.23vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University3.20+0.29vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.43-1.61vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College1.87+3.87vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.95-1.33vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-1.53vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania3.51-6.06vs Predicted
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15Fordham University3.25-5.80vs Predicted
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16University of Virginia2.39-3.11vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.12-3.16vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.32-9.05vs Predicted
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19University of Wisconsin2.11-5.11vs Predicted
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20Princeton University-1.37-0.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.08University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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8.0Tufts University3.520.1%1st Place
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8.93St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.1%1st Place
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8.3U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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11.11George Washington University2.790.0%1st Place
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8.17Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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8.49Roger Williams University3.470.1%1st Place
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7.77Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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9.29Old Dominion University3.200.0%1st Place
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8.39Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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14.87SUNY Maritime College1.870.0%1st Place
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10.67University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
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11.47U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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7.94University of Pennsylvania3.510.1%1st Place
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9.2Fordham University3.250.1%1st Place
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12.89University of Virginia2.390.0%1st Place
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13.84U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.120.0%1st Place
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8.95Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.320.0%1st Place
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13.89University of Wisconsin2.110.0%1st Place
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19.73Princeton University-1.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Factor | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Willem Sandberg | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Michael Popp | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Daniel DelBello | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 0.3% |
| Scott Houck | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Connor Needham | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Michael Croteau | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Daniel LOCHNER | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Marek Zaleski | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Arthur Libby | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 16.9% | 27.7% | 1.9% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 4.7% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 2.8% | 0.2% |
| Bradley Milliken | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 0.5% |
| Maximiliano Agnese | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Craven | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 0.7% |
| Samuel Watterson | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 14.0% | 16.6% | 1.2% |
| Elliott Morrill | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Soren Walljasper | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 11.2% | 14.3% | 18.1% | 1.0% |
| Henry Pease | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 2.6% | 93.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.