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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin3.36+8.92vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.56+7.10vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College2.47+10.64vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.67+8.90vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.98+2.57vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University4.310.00vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College3.00+4.49vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.58+1.22vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.46+0.28vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.89-2.45vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-3.40vs Predicted
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12Boston University3.35-1.70vs Predicted
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13Harvard University4.17-6.65vs Predicted
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14Washington College2.29+0.45vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.87-3.13vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.53-6.99vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63-8.25vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University3.36-8.11vs Predicted
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19University of Pennsylvania1.95-3.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.92University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
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9.1Tufts University3.560.1%1st Place
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13.64Eckerd College2.470.0%1st Place
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12.9Connecticut College2.670.0%1st Place
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7.57Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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6.0Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
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11.49SUNY Maritime College3.000.0%1st Place
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9.22Dartmouth College3.580.1%1st Place
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9.28U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.460.1%1st Place
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7.55Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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7.6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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10.3Boston University3.350.0%1st Place
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6.35Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
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14.45Washington College2.290.0%1st Place
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11.87University of Rhode Island2.870.0%1st Place
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9.01U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.530.1%1st Place
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8.75Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.1%1st Place
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9.89Salve Regina University3.360.0%1st Place
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15.12University of Pennsylvania1.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Kutschenreuter | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.1% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Amy Baxter | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 14.4% | 17.4% |
| Max Rollins | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 9.4% |
| Colin Smith | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Sean Bouchard | 14.2% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| Ted Green | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 4.3% |
| Edward Glackin | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Daniel Liberty | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Cam Cullman | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Matt Johnson | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| John Stokes | 10.6% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Mildred Conroy | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 15.5% | 21.0% |
| Ryan Hughes | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 7.4% |
| Jonathan Duffett | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Eamon Glackin | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Kyle Carney | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 1.9% |
| Christina Johns | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 15.3% | 30.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.