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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.5
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Illinois0.70+0.49vs Predicted
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2Miami University-0.39+0.38vs Predicted
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3University of Illinois-1.28+0.11vs Predicted
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4University of Notre Dame-1.11-0.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.49University of Illinois0.7062.5%1st Place
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2.38Miami University-0.3919.4%1st Place
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3.11University of Illinois-1.289.0%1st Place
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3.01University of Notre Dame-1.119.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Rivkin | 62.5% | 27.4% | 8.7% | 1.5% |
| Suzanne Ackley | 19.4% | 37.5% | 28.5% | 14.5% |
| Bahda Hoang | 9.0% | 16.1% | 29.2% | 45.6% |
| Cecilia Patrick | 9.0% | 19.0% | 33.5% | 38.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.