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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University3.20+8.33vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.44+6.26vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont3.51+5.15vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.47+4.20vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34+3.74vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.32+2.99vs Predicted
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7Fordham University3.25+2.51vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+2.90vs Predicted
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9University of Virginia2.39+3.80vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.43-1.59vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.95-0.47vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.49-3.67vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania3.51-4.68vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College1.87+0.85vs Predicted
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15George Washington University2.79-3.82vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College3.52-8.04vs Predicted
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17Tufts University3.52-9.20vs Predicted
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18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.12-3.92vs Predicted
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19University of Wisconsin2.11-5.08vs Predicted
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20Princeton University-1.37-0.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.33Old Dominion University3.200.1%1st Place
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8.26U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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8.15University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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8.2Roger Williams University3.470.1%1st Place
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8.74St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.1%1st Place
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8.99Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.320.1%1st Place
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9.51Fordham University3.250.0%1st Place
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10.9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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12.8University of Virginia2.390.0%1st Place
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8.41Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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10.53University of Rhode Island2.950.1%1st Place
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8.33Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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8.32University of Pennsylvania3.510.1%1st Place
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14.85SUNY Maritime College1.870.0%1st Place
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11.18George Washington University2.790.0%1st Place
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7.96Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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7.8Tufts University3.520.1%1st Place
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14.08U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.120.0%1st Place
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13.92University of Wisconsin2.110.0%1st Place
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19.74Princeton University-1.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel LOCHNER | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Michael Popp | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Factor | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Connor Needham | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Elliott Morrill | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Milliken | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 0.3% |
| Christopher Craven | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 0.7% |
| Marek Zaleski | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 0.1% |
| Scott Houck | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Maximiliano Agnese | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Arthur Libby | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 13.7% | 27.4% | 2.5% |
| Daniel DelBello | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 0.0% |
| Michael Croteau | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Willem Sandberg | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Watterson | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 13.1% | 19.8% | 1.1% |
| Soren Walljasper | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 15.6% | 18.6% | 1.0% |
| Henry Pease | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 93.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.