← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1George Washington University2.79+10.14vs Predicted
-
2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34+6.72vs Predicted
-
3Bowdoin College3.52+5.15vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University3.52+3.98vs Predicted
-
5Old Dominion University3.20+4.36vs Predicted
-
6University of Rhode Island2.95+4.65vs Predicted
-
7University of Vermont3.51+1.31vs Predicted
-
8Dartmouth College3.49-0.03vs Predicted
-
9Roger Williams University3.47-0.86vs Predicted
-
10SUNY Maritime College1.87+4.91vs Predicted
-
11Fordham University3.25-1.76vs Predicted
-
12Harvard University3.43-3.48vs Predicted
-
13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-1.52vs Predicted
-
14U. S. Naval Academy3.44-5.77vs Predicted
-
15University of Pennsylvania3.51-6.97vs Predicted
-
16University of Virginia2.39-3.12vs Predicted
-
17Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.32-8.35vs Predicted
-
18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.12-3.99vs Predicted
-
19University of Wisconsin2.11-5.08vs Predicted
-
20Princeton University-1.37-0.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
11.14George Washington University2.790.0%1st Place
-
8.72St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.1%1st Place
-
8.15Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
-
7.98Tufts University3.520.1%1st Place
-
9.36Old Dominion University3.200.1%1st Place
-
10.65University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
-
8.31University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
-
7.97Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
-
8.14Roger Williams University3.470.1%1st Place
-
14.91SUNY Maritime College1.870.0%1st Place
-
9.24Fordham University3.250.1%1st Place
-
8.52Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
-
11.48U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
-
8.23U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
-
8.03University of Pennsylvania3.510.1%1st Place
-
12.88University of Virginia2.390.0%1st Place
-
8.65Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.320.1%1st Place
-
14.01U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.120.0%1st Place
-
13.92University of Wisconsin2.110.0%1st Place
-
19.73Princeton University-1.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel DelBello | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 0.3% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 7.6% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Michael Croteau | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Willem Sandberg | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Daniel LOCHNER | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 0.2% |
| Jordan Factor | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Scott Houck | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Connor Needham | 5.5% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Arthur Libby | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 11.0% | 15.8% | 25.1% | 2.6% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Marek Zaleski | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Bradley Milliken | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 4.6% | 0.3% |
| Michael Popp | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Maximiliano Agnese | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Craven | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 13.2% | 0.4% |
| Elliott Morrill | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Watterson | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 14.3% | 18.1% | 1.1% |
| Soren Walljasper | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 13.6% | 19.1% | 1.2% |
| Henry Pease | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 93.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.