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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.95+9.60vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.47+6.30vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34+6.00vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont3.51+4.16vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University3.20+4.41vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.52+2.21vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.49+1.53vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College2.63+3.88vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.32-0.09vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.43-1.45vs Predicted
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11Fordham University3.25-1.62vs Predicted
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12University of Virginia2.39+1.28vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy3.44-4.23vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-2.80vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College3.52-6.88vs Predicted
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16George Washington University2.79-4.64vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.12-2.94vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin2.11-3.71vs Predicted
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19Princeton University-1.37+0.71vs Predicted
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20University of Pennsylvania3.51-11.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.6University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
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8.3Roger Williams University3.470.1%1st Place
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9.0St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.1%1st Place
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8.16University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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9.41Old Dominion University3.200.1%1st Place
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8.21Tufts University3.520.1%1st Place
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8.53Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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11.88SUNY Maritime College2.630.0%1st Place
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8.91Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.320.1%1st Place
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8.55Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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9.38Fordham University3.250.1%1st Place
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13.28University of Virginia2.390.0%1st Place
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8.77U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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11.2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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8.12Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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11.36George Washington University2.790.0%1st Place
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14.06U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.120.0%1st Place
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14.29University of Wisconsin2.110.0%1st Place
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19.71Princeton University-1.370.0%1st Place
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8.26University of Pennsylvania3.510.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Coughlin | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 0.2% |
| Connor Needham | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Factor | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Daniel LOCHNER | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Willem Sandberg | 7.1% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Scott Houck | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Julia Paxton | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 0.4% |
| Elliott Morrill | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Marek Zaleski | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Christopher Craven | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 13.4% | 14.6% | 0.8% |
| Michael Popp | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Milliken | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 0.5% |
| Michael Croteau | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Daniel DelBello | 4.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 0.3% |
| Samuel Watterson | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 9.8% | 13.4% | 21.4% | 1.5% |
| Soren Walljasper | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 14.4% | 22.2% | 2.2% |
| Henry Pease | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 93.8% |
| Maximiliano Agnese | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.