Race 1A

saisa-south-points-erau

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Brendan Smucker 13.9% 13.3% 12.8% 10.9% 10.8% 10.3% 9.5% 8.0% 6.7% 3.8%
Aden Anderson 11.6% 10.4% 11.3% 10.2% 11.7% 10.2% 10.6% 9.8% 8.2% 6.1%
Ayla Weisberg 10.2% 9.6% 8.3% 9.8% 10.2% 10.8% 10.1% 10.8% 11.7% 8.6%
Maartje van Dam 11.1% 12.0% 10.5% 11.1% 10.8% 11.4% 10.8% 9.7% 7.4% 5.1%
Cameron Robinson 10.4% 11.6% 11.2% 12.4% 10.9% 10.5% 9.8% 9.1% 8.8% 5.1%
Kyle Bramson 9.8% 10.6% 11.2% 10.1% 10.0% 10.6% 9.5% 11.3% 10.5% 6.5%
Carly Orhan 7.9% 7.4% 8.8% 9.7% 8.7% 10.8% 11.2% 11.6% 12.8% 10.9%
Camden Sullivan 11.2% 9.8% 10.9% 10.4% 10.1% 10.0% 11.2% 10.8% 9.3% 6.4%
Meredith McIntosh 3.1% 3.5% 5.1% 4.6% 4.6% 5.7% 6.2% 9.7% 16.2% 41.3%
Dylan Hardt 10.9% 11.7% 9.7% 10.9% 12.2% 9.6% 11.2% 9.3% 8.3% 6.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.