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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University4.08+4.85vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.69+5.43vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.00+7.22vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.73+3.43vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College3.78+1.93vs Predicted
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6University of Buffalo2.44+6.55vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University3.26+2.22vs Predicted
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8Washington College2.84+2.64vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-0.24vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.97+0.32vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.25-1.55vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.80-4.89vs Predicted
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13Stanford University4.05-6.79vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University2.45-1.49vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont3.27-5.78vs Predicted
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16Harvard University3.49-7.63vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College2.89-6.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.85Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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7.43Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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10.22Boston University3.000.0%1st Place
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7.43Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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6.93Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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12.55University of Buffalo2.440.0%1st Place
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9.22Northeastern University3.260.1%1st Place
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10.64Washington College2.840.0%1st Place
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8.76Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.0%1st Place
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10.32Dartmouth College2.970.0%1st Place
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9.45St. Mary's College of Maryland3.250.1%1st Place
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7.11Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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6.21Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
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12.51Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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9.22University of Vermont3.270.1%1st Place
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8.37Harvard University3.490.1%1st Place
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10.78Eckerd College2.890.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Haeger | 12.7% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Judge Ryan | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Cameron Fraser | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.2% |
| Connor Corgard | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% |
| Kevin Martland | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Griffin Orr | 2.5% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 14.3% | 22.8% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.7% |
| Ryan Bailey | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 10.4% |
| David Alfonso | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 2.5% |
| Christopher Price | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.0% |
| Ian Liberty | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.2% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Kevin Laube | 10.4% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.5% |
| John Silvestri | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 15.0% | 22.0% |
| Michael Booker | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% |
| Brian Drumm | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.1% |
| Tony Collins | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 9.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.