Race 2A

saisa-south-points-erau

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Kyle Bramson 11.9% 9.2% 10.4% 11.3% 11.4% 11.3% 9.9% 9.4% 8.6% 6.5%
Dylan Hardt 10.3% 10.8% 10.8% 10.2% 10.5% 10.1% 10.9% 10.8% 9.4% 6.2%
Camden Sullivan 10.3% 9.6% 10.2% 11.9% 11.0% 9.5% 10.3% 10.6% 9.7% 6.9%
Cameron Robinson 11.8% 11.6% 12.0% 10.9% 10.7% 10.7% 9.7% 9.8% 8.0% 5.0%
Maartje van Dam 11.7% 11.8% 11.5% 10.5% 11.1% 10.8% 9.4% 8.6% 9.6% 5.2%
Meredith McIntosh 3.8% 4.7% 3.9% 4.5% 4.5% 5.9% 8.3% 9.5% 15.4% 39.5%
Ayla Weisberg 8.1% 9.6% 9.0% 10.3% 9.6% 9.4% 10.9% 11.6% 11.5% 10.1%
Carly Orhan 8.2% 8.9% 8.9% 8.0% 8.8% 10.9% 10.9% 12.6% 12.5% 10.2%
Brendan Smucker 13.2% 14.0% 12.5% 11.3% 11.5% 10.0% 9.3% 7.8% 6.5% 3.9%
Aden Anderson 10.8% 10.0% 10.8% 10.9% 11.0% 11.3% 10.2% 9.4% 8.9% 6.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.