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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University4.08+4.87vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.00+8.16vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont3.27+6.17vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College2.89+6.70vs Predicted
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5Stanford University4.05+1.01vs Predicted
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6Washington College2.84+5.10vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.80+0.12vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.25+1.07vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College3.78-1.69vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.69-2.64vs Predicted
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11Harvard University3.49-2.56vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-3.40vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University3.26-3.66vs Predicted
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14University of Buffalo2.44-1.49vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College2.97-4.62vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University2.45-3.64vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University3.73-9.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.87Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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10.16Boston University3.000.0%1st Place
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9.17University of Vermont3.270.1%1st Place
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10.7Eckerd College2.890.0%1st Place
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6.01Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
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11.1Washington College2.840.0%1st Place
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7.12Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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9.07St. Mary's College of Maryland3.250.1%1st Place
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7.31Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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7.36Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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8.44Harvard University3.490.1%1st Place
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8.6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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9.34Northeastern University3.260.0%1st Place
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12.51University of Buffalo2.440.0%1st Place
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10.38Dartmouth College2.970.0%1st Place
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12.36Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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7.49Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Haeger | 12.6% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Cameron Fraser | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 7.1% |
| Michael Booker | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.5% |
| Tony Collins | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 10.4% |
| Kevin Laube | 11.8% | 12.3% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Bailey | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 12.7% | 9.8% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Ian Liberty | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 3.7% |
| Kevin Martland | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Judge Ryan | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% |
| Brian Drumm | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 2.0% |
| David Alfonso | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 3.5% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.3% |
| Griffin Orr | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 10.9% | 14.4% | 22.2% |
| Christopher Price | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.6% |
| John Silvestri | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 20.9% |
| Connor Corgard | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.