Race 3A

saisa-south-points-erau

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Brendan Smucker 14.4% 11.6% 11.4% 12.7% 11.2% 11.0% 9.1% 8.2% 6.6% 3.8%
Ayla Weisberg 7.4% 9.5% 8.8% 10.8% 9.8% 10.8% 11.1% 11.8% 11.7% 8.3%
Dylan Hardt 11.6% 11.6% 10.0% 10.5% 11.0% 10.5% 9.2% 9.6% 10.3% 5.8%
Maartje van Dam 12.0% 10.2% 11.6% 10.3% 11.7% 11.2% 10.1% 8.9% 8.8% 5.1%
Aden Anderson 11.2% 10.8% 10.0% 11.9% 10.0% 10.9% 10.8% 10.4% 8.8% 5.2%
Cameron Robinson 11.7% 12.3% 13.2% 9.8% 11.8% 10.3% 10.2% 9.0% 7.4% 4.2%
Camden Sullivan 10.9% 9.2% 10.2% 10.4% 10.3% 9.6% 11.6% 10.8% 10.2% 6.8%
Carly Orhan 6.7% 10.3% 9.8% 8.8% 8.3% 9.0% 10.8% 12.3% 13.4% 10.5%
Dario Cannistra 3.0% 3.7% 4.0% 4.8% 5.0% 5.7% 7.0% 9.6% 13.1% 44.4%
Kyle Bramson 10.9% 10.8% 11.2% 10.0% 10.9% 10.9% 10.0% 9.4% 9.8% 6.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.