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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University4.08+4.88vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+6.49vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.73+4.35vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.69+3.58vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.80+1.96vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont3.27+3.39vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.49+1.33vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University3.26+1.05vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.97+1.56vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College3.78-2.96vs Predicted
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11Boston University3.00-0.64vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.25-2.75vs Predicted
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13Stanford University4.05-6.78vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College2.89-3.15vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University2.45-2.70vs Predicted
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16University of Buffalo2.44-3.58vs Predicted
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17Washington College2.84-6.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.88Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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8.49Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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7.35Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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7.58Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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6.96Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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9.39University of Vermont3.270.0%1st Place
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8.33Harvard University3.490.1%1st Place
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9.05Northeastern University3.260.1%1st Place
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10.56Dartmouth College2.970.0%1st Place
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7.04Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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10.36Boston University3.000.0%1st Place
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9.25St. Mary's College of Maryland3.250.0%1st Place
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6.22Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
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10.85Eckerd College2.890.0%1st Place
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12.3Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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12.42University of Buffalo2.440.0%1st Place
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10.97Washington College2.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Haeger | 12.5% | 12.1% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| David Alfonso | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.9% |
| Connor Corgard | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Judge Ryan | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.5% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Michael Booker | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% |
| Brian Drumm | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 1.7% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 6.1% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 3.9% |
| Christopher Price | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 7.1% |
| Kevin Martland | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% |
| Cameron Fraser | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 7.4% |
| Ian Liberty | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.1% |
| Kevin Laube | 10.9% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 11.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Tony Collins | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 10.0% |
| John Silvestri | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 12.9% | 22.2% |
| Griffin Orr | 2.3% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 13.0% | 21.8% |
| Ryan Bailey | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 11.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.