Race 4A

saisa-south-points-erau

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Dylan Hardt 10.4% 11.9% 9.4% 11.0% 11.3% 10.7% 11.2% 10.8% 8.1% 5.1%
Kyle Bramson 10.9% 10.2% 10.3% 9.7% 10.1% 10.7% 10.5% 11.6% 10.3% 5.8%
Ayla Weisberg 8.6% 8.0% 10.2% 9.6% 9.9% 10.1% 10.8% 11.8% 11.2% 10.0%
Brendan Smucker 13.2% 14.8% 10.9% 11.7% 11.4% 10.2% 10.1% 7.5% 7.0% 3.2%
Aden Anderson 11.5% 10.3% 11.2% 10.5% 10.3% 11.4% 11.6% 9.0% 8.6% 5.5%
Cameron Robinson 11.7% 12.6% 12.3% 11.9% 11.2% 10.3% 10.2% 8.9% 6.5% 4.2%
Camden Sullivan 11.3% 8.8% 11.0% 10.0% 10.8% 10.2% 9.8% 10.2% 11.2% 6.9%
Carly Orhan 7.0% 9.7% 9.0% 9.1% 9.5% 10.2% 8.8% 11.3% 14.5% 10.9%
Maartje van Dam 12.3% 10.1% 11.6% 11.9% 11.5% 9.8% 10.0% 9.8% 8.1% 4.8%
Dario Cannistra 3.1% 3.7% 3.9% 4.6% 4.0% 6.3% 7.0% 9.0% 14.6% 43.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.