Race 5A

saisa-south-points-erau

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Brendan Smucker 13.4% 13.4% 13.7% 13.5% 11.2% 10.0% 9.0% 7.4% 5.6% 2.9%
Camden Sullivan 10.2% 11.5% 10.8% 10.7% 10.8% 11.8% 11.5% 10.2% 8.1% 4.7%
Aden Anderson 11.9% 10.9% 11.1% 11.5% 11.7% 11.5% 10.3% 9.7% 7.6% 4.0%
Cameron Robinson 13.2% 12.9% 12.3% 10.8% 11.9% 10.7% 10.8% 8.8% 5.9% 2.6%
Dylan Hardt 11.5% 12.2% 11.5% 10.8% 11.7% 11.1% 10.3% 9.7% 7.8% 3.4%
Ayla Weisberg 9.9% 8.7% 9.4% 10.4% 9.5% 10.9% 11.6% 11.6% 10.8% 7.2%
Kyle Bramson 11.8% 11.2% 11.2% 11.0% 11.7% 11.0% 10.8% 9.3% 8.2% 3.9%
Maartje van Dam 11.8% 10.7% 11.6% 12.4% 10.5% 12.4% 10.3% 9.8% 7.3% 3.2%
Herminio Agront 2.8% 3.8% 3.7% 4.0% 5.2% 5.5% 6.0% 11.8% 19.0% 38.2%
Meredith McIntosh 3.5% 4.9% 4.8% 5.0% 5.9% 5.2% 9.5% 11.6% 19.8% 30.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.