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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.49+7.10vs Predicted
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2Stanford University4.05+4.07vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.80+4.06vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University2.45+8.34vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.25+4.05vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.73+1.61vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.00+3.29vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College2.89+2.46vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-0.18vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College3.78-2.97vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.97-0.45vs Predicted
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12Tufts University4.08-5.95vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont3.27-3.68vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University3.26-4.62vs Predicted
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15Washington College2.84-4.10vs Predicted
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16Brown University3.69-8.48vs Predicted
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17University of Buffalo2.44-4.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.1Harvard University3.490.1%1st Place
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6.07Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
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7.06Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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12.34Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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9.05St. Mary's College of Maryland3.250.1%1st Place
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7.61Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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10.29Boston University3.000.0%1st Place
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10.46Eckerd College2.890.0%1st Place
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8.82Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.0%1st Place
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7.03Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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10.55Dartmouth College2.970.0%1st Place
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6.05Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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9.32University of Vermont3.270.1%1st Place
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9.38Northeastern University3.260.0%1st Place
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10.9Washington College2.840.0%1st Place
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7.52Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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12.45University of Buffalo2.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Drumm | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| Kevin Laube | 11.6% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| John Silvestri | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 14.2% | 22.0% |
| Ian Liberty | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.5% |
| Connor Corgard | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Cameron Fraser | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.0% |
| Tony Collins | 4.1% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 9.8% |
| David Alfonso | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 3.0% |
| Kevin Martland | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Christopher Price | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.7% |
| William Haeger | 10.2% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Michael Booker | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 3.2% |
| Ryan Bailey | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 10.5% |
| Judge Ryan | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Griffin Orr | 1.2% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 13.6% | 22.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.