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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Western Washington University1.62+1.49vs Predicted
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3University of Victoria0.40+2.55vs Predicted
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4University of Washington2.14-1.25vs Predicted
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6University of Washington2.13-3.17vs Predicted
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7University of Puget Sound0.03-0.91vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University1.49-4.27vs Predicted
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9University of Victoria1.08-4.52vs Predicted
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11University of Puget Sound-0.81-3.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.49Western Washington University1.620.2%1st Place
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5.55University of Victoria0.400.0%1st Place
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2.75University of Washington2.140.3%1st Place
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2.83University of Washington2.130.2%1st Place
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6.09University of Puget Sound0.030.0%1st Place
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3.73Western Washington University1.490.1%1st Place
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4.48University of Victoria1.080.1%1st Place
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7.07University of Puget Sound-0.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashley Vincent | 16.0% | 17.5% | 18.3% | 18.9% | 14.4% | 9.3% | 4.9% | 0.7% |
| Meigan Blunt | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 16.1% | 22.5% | 23.0% | 14.2% |
| Antonio Johnson | 28.0% | 21.7% | 19.5% | 15.6% | 10.0% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Bradley Sainsbury | 24.3% | 25.6% | 17.9% | 14.9% | 11.0% | 5.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Michael Trombatore | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 17.6% | 32.0% | 22.3% |
| Andrew Nelson | 14.1% | 14.0% | 18.8% | 17.4% | 16.6% | 13.0% | 4.8% | 1.3% |
| Martin Van Den Berghe | 8.9% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 15.2% | 17.9% | 19.0% | 13.4% | 2.9% |
| Hannah Schneider-Lynch | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 9.8% | 19.7% | 58.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.