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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.98+6.24vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University4.31+3.99vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.89+4.65vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College3.00+7.45vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin3.31+5.31vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.93+5.54vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.56+2.06vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.58+1.14vs Predicted
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9Harvard University4.50-3.76vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.46-0.72vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63-2.42vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+0.52vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-5.63vs Predicted
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14Boston University3.35-4.03vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College2.67-2.46vs Predicted
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16Washington College2.29-1.87vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College2.47-3.63vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University3.36-8.35vs Predicted
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19University of Pennsylvania1.95-4.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.24Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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5.99Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
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7.65Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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11.45SUNY Maritime College3.000.0%1st Place
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10.31University of Wisconsin3.310.0%1st Place
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11.54University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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9.06Tufts University3.560.1%1st Place
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9.14Dartmouth College3.580.1%1st Place
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5.24Harvard University4.500.2%1st Place
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9.28U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.460.1%1st Place
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8.58Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.1%1st Place
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12.52U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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7.37Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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9.97Boston University3.350.0%1st Place
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12.54Connecticut College2.670.0%1st Place
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14.13Washington College2.290.0%1st Place
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13.37Eckerd College2.470.0%1st Place
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9.65Salve Regina University3.360.0%1st Place
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14.98University of Pennsylvania1.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Smith | 6.5% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Sean Bouchard | 12.2% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Cam Cullman | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Ted Green | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 3.5% |
| Leif Evensen | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 2.0% |
| James Simmons | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% |
| Edward Glackin | 5.4% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Tedd Himler | 15.8% | 13.3% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Liberty | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Eamon Glackin | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Bradley Milliken | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 7.0% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 9.1% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Matt Johnson | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.0% |
| Max Rollins | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 10.6% |
| Mildred Conroy | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 19.5% |
| Amy Baxter | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 10.8% | 14.1% | 14.3% |
| Kyle Carney | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
| Christina Johns | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 15.7% | 27.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.