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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University4.05+4.87vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.69+5.35vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College2.69+8.37vs Predicted
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4Tufts University4.08+2.07vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University2.45+7.11vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.80+1.22vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont3.27+2.13vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University3.26+0.94vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College3.78-1.76vs Predicted
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10University of Buffalo2.44+2.27vs Predicted
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11Harvard University3.49-2.49vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University3.73-4.65vs Predicted
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13Washington College2.84-2.03vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-5.30vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College2.97-4.68vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland3.25-6.70vs Predicted
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17Boston University3.00-6.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.87Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
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7.35Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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11.37Eckerd College2.690.0%1st Place
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6.07Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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12.11Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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7.22Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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9.13University of Vermont3.270.1%1st Place
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8.94Northeastern University3.260.1%1st Place
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7.24Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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12.27University of Buffalo2.440.0%1st Place
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8.51Harvard University3.490.1%1st Place
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7.35Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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10.97Washington College2.840.0%1st Place
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8.7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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10.32Dartmouth College2.970.0%1st Place
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9.3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.250.0%1st Place
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10.28Boston University3.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Laube | 13.4% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Judge Ryan | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| Alejandro Monllor | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 14.8% |
| William Haeger | 11.5% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| John Silvestri | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 12.5% | 21.1% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Michael Booker | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 2.7% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 3.5% |
| Kevin Martland | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% |
| Griffin Orr | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 14.0% | 19.6% |
| Brian Drumm | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.1% |
| Connor Corgard | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Ryan Bailey | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 10.6% |
| David Alfonso | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 2.0% |
| Christopher Price | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.0% |
| Ian Liberty | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 3.8% |
| Cameron Fraser | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.