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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University0.84+2.98vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.54+0.58vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida0.39+1.98vs Predicted
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4Rollins College-0.49+3.01vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida0.11+0.68vs Predicted
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6Unknown School-0.13+0.23vs Predicted
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7Florida State University-1.03+1.36vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University-0.13-1.73vs Predicted
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9University of Florida-0.10-2.87vs Predicted
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10Embry-Riddle University-0.90-1.86vs Predicted
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11Florida Institute of Technology-0.29-4.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.98Jacksonville University0.8416.0%1st Place
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2.58University of South Florida1.5433.5%1st Place
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4.98University of South Florida0.3910.9%1st Place
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7.01Rollins College-0.495.0%1st Place
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5.68University of South Florida0.117.6%1st Place
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6.23Unknown School-0.135.9%1st Place
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8.36Florida State University-1.032.5%1st Place
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6.27Jacksonville University-0.136.2%1st Place
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6.13University of Florida-0.105.3%1st Place
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8.14Embry-Riddle University-0.902.1%1st Place
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6.64Florida Institute of Technology-0.295.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefanos Pappas | 16.0% | 16.3% | 16.2% | 14.1% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Eden Nykamp | 33.5% | 24.7% | 17.7% | 10.9% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hella Kornatzki | 10.9% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 1.8% |
| Connor Teague | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 15.3% | 10.4% |
| Coby Flannery | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 3.5% |
| James McGirr | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 6.3% |
| Griffin Pollis | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 18.2% | 30.2% |
| Ella DesChamps | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 6.3% |
| Kai Priester | 5.3% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 5.0% |
| Brian Herbster | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 16.3% | 27.1% |
| Brandon DePalma | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 9.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.