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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University4.08+4.83vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.25+7.12vs Predicted
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3Stanford University4.05+3.07vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.73+3.35vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.69+2.31vs Predicted
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6Washington College2.84+5.04vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.49+1.28vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College3.78-1.01vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-0.27vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.80-3.14vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University2.45+1.35vs Predicted
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12Boston University3.00-1.85vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University3.26-3.67vs Predicted
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14University of Buffalo2.44-1.54vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College2.97-4.63vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College2.69-4.52vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont3.27-7.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.83Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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9.12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.250.0%1st Place
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6.07Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
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7.35Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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7.31Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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11.04Washington College2.840.0%1st Place
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8.28Harvard University3.490.1%1st Place
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6.99Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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8.73Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.0%1st Place
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6.86Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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12.35Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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10.15Boston University3.000.0%1st Place
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9.33Northeastern University3.260.0%1st Place
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12.46University of Buffalo2.440.0%1st Place
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10.37Dartmouth College2.970.0%1st Place
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11.48Eckerd College2.690.0%1st Place
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9.26University of Vermont3.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Haeger | 12.8% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Ian Liberty | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 3.0% |
| Kevin Laube | 11.7% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Connor Corgard | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Judge Ryan | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Ryan Bailey | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 10.0% |
| Brian Drumm | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 1.8% |
| Kevin Martland | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| David Alfonso | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 2.2% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| John Silvestri | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 13.4% | 22.9% |
| Cameron Fraser | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.5% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.2% |
| Griffin Orr | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 12.7% | 22.2% |
| Christopher Price | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% |
| Alejandro Monllor | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 12.8% |
| Michael Booker | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 3.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.