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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington College2.84+9.36vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.97+7.99vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.58+8.55vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.64+3.48vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+3.14vs Predicted
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6Tufts University4.08-0.03vs Predicted
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7Stanford University4.05-1.14vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.80-1.26vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University3.26+0.16vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.25-1.17vs Predicted
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11University of Buffalo2.44+1.21vs Predicted
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12Harvard University3.49-3.98vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College2.89-2.47vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University3.73-6.79vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University2.45-3.03vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont3.27-7.05vs Predicted
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17Boston University3.00-6.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.36Washington College2.840.0%1st Place
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9.99Dartmouth College2.970.0%1st Place
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11.55Connecticut College2.580.0%1st Place
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7.48Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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8.14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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5.97Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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5.86Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
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6.74Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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9.16Northeastern University3.260.0%1st Place
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8.83St. Mary's College of Maryland3.250.0%1st Place
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12.21University of Buffalo2.440.0%1st Place
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8.02Harvard University3.490.1%1st Place
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10.53Eckerd College2.890.0%1st Place
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7.21Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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11.97Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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8.95University of Vermont3.270.0%1st Place
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10.05Boston University3.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Bailey | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% |
| Christopher Price | 4.7% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 5.3% |
| Alexander Giordano | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 15.8% |
| Lucas Adams | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| David Alfonso | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| William Haeger | 11.1% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Kevin Laube | 11.5% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 10.7% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 3.1% |
| Ian Liberty | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.9% |
| Griffin Orr | 2.7% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 13.1% | 21.8% |
| Brian Drumm | 6.2% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.9% |
| Tony Collins | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.0% |
| Connor Corgard | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| John Silvestri | 2.0% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 14.1% | 18.9% |
| Michael Booker | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 3.3% |
| Cameron Fraser | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.