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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University4.08+4.66vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College2.89+8.27vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.49+5.03vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.58+7.63vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University3.26+3.73vs Predicted
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6Washington College2.84+4.77vs Predicted
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7Stanford University4.05-1.16vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+0.14vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.25+0.21vs Predicted
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10Boston University3.00-0.15vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.97-0.83vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont3.27-3.05vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University3.73-5.80vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University2.45-1.82vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.64-7.61vs Predicted
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16Yale University3.80-9.14vs Predicted
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17University of Buffalo2.44-4.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.66Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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10.27Eckerd College2.890.0%1st Place
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8.03Harvard University3.490.1%1st Place
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11.63Connecticut College2.580.0%1st Place
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8.73Northeastern University3.260.1%1st Place
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10.77Washington College2.840.0%1st Place
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5.84Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
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8.14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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9.21St. Mary's College of Maryland3.250.0%1st Place
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9.85Boston University3.000.0%1st Place
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10.17Dartmouth College2.970.0%1st Place
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8.95University of Vermont3.270.1%1st Place
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7.2Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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12.18Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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7.39Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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6.86Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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12.12University of Buffalo2.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Haeger | 14.0% | 12.1% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Tony Collins | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 7.0% |
| Brian Drumm | 7.6% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.4% |
| Alexander Giordano | 2.5% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 15.8% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 3.2% |
| Ryan Bailey | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 8.5% |
| Kevin Laube | 11.6% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| David Alfonso | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 1.7% |
| Ian Liberty | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 4.5% | 3.7% |
| Cameron Fraser | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% |
| Christopher Price | 4.6% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 6.7% |
| Michael Booker | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.1% |
| Connor Corgard | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| John Silvestri | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 19.4% |
| Lucas Adams | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 8.1% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Griffin Orr | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 21.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.