Race 3B

saisa-south-points-erau

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Eden Nykamp 34.2% 25.4% 16.8% 11.5% 7.0% 3.2% 1.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
Connor Teague 4.0% 5.1% 6.9% 8.5% 10.3% 11.4% 13.9% 15.2% 16.7% 8.2%
Stefanos Pappas 18.4% 18.6% 17.2% 14.8% 12.2% 8.6% 5.8% 3.0% 1.1% 0.2%
James McGirr 7.0% 7.6% 10.0% 10.7% 11.9% 12.2% 13.6% 13.0% 10.0% 3.9%
Coby Flannery 9.2% 10.2% 11.8% 11.6% 11.8% 13.9% 12.4% 10.1% 6.7% 2.4%
Brandon DePalma 5.5% 7.1% 7.2% 9.2% 11.8% 11.9% 14.0% 15.2% 12.8% 5.2%
Ella DesChamps 6.4% 7.6% 10.8% 11.7% 11.6% 13.2% 11.8% 12.9% 10.2% 3.9%
Collin Lee 3.2% 3.6% 4.3% 5.7% 7.2% 8.8% 11.6% 14.8% 23.8% 17.0%
Hella Kornatzki 10.8% 12.8% 12.8% 13.8% 13.9% 13.2% 10.8% 6.9% 4.2% 1.1%
Marco Distel 1.4% 2.0% 2.1% 2.6% 2.3% 3.5% 4.8% 8.6% 14.5% 58.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.