Race 4B

saisa-south-points-erau

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Stefanos Pappas 15.8% 19.2% 18.4% 15.2% 12.2% 8.8% 5.3% 3.0% 1.6% 0.2%
Eden Nykamp 36.9% 23.4% 16.8% 11.5% 5.9% 3.3% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Coby Flannery 8.6% 9.5% 11.2% 11.7% 13.2% 14.0% 11.6% 10.5% 7.4% 2.3%
James McGirr 6.8% 7.3% 9.0% 10.1% 11.8% 13.1% 13.2% 13.2% 11.6% 4.0%
Hella Kornatzki 11.6% 13.2% 13.1% 14.6% 13.6% 12.0% 9.6% 7.2% 4.0% 1.1%
Collin Lee 2.7% 4.2% 5.3% 5.4% 6.8% 8.9% 11.8% 14.5% 22.7% 17.5%
Connor Teague 5.0% 6.2% 6.7% 8.3% 9.4% 11.3% 13.5% 15.4% 16.6% 7.5%
Brandon DePalma 4.9% 7.5% 7.6% 9.6% 11.5% 12.4% 14.0% 14.4% 13.0% 5.1%
Marco Distel 1.2% 1.7% 2.4% 2.9% 2.9% 4.1% 5.5% 8.2% 13.0% 58.1%
Ella DesChamps 6.7% 7.6% 9.3% 10.8% 12.7% 11.9% 14.1% 12.8% 10.0% 4.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.