← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University3.80+5.56vs Predicted
-
2University of Buffalo2.44+9.94vs Predicted
-
3Dartmouth College2.97+6.99vs Predicted
-
4University of Vermont3.27+4.96vs Predicted
-
5Northeastern University3.26+3.60vs Predicted
-
6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+2.39vs Predicted
-
7Washington College2.84+3.55vs Predicted
-
8Harvard University3.49-0.24vs Predicted
-
9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.25+0.17vs Predicted
-
10Eckerd College2.69+1.06vs Predicted
-
11Stanford University4.05-5.02vs Predicted
-
12Tufts University4.08-6.24vs Predicted
-
13Roger Williams University3.73-5.82vs Predicted
-
14Salve Regina University2.45-1.83vs Predicted
-
15Boston University3.00-5.11vs Predicted
-
16Brown University3.64-8.63vs Predicted
-
17Connecticut College2.58-5.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.56Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
-
11.94University of Buffalo2.440.0%1st Place
-
9.99Dartmouth College2.970.0%1st Place
-
8.96University of Vermont3.270.1%1st Place
-
8.6Northeastern University3.260.1%1st Place
-
8.39Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
-
10.55Washington College2.840.0%1st Place
-
7.76Harvard University3.490.1%1st Place
-
9.17St. Mary's College of Maryland3.250.0%1st Place
-
11.06Eckerd College2.690.0%1st Place
-
5.98Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
-
5.76Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
-
7.18Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
-
12.17Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
-
9.89Boston University3.000.0%1st Place
-
7.37Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
-
11.65Connecticut College2.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Segerblom | 10.9% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Griffin Orr | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 14.0% | 17.6% |
| Christopher Price | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% |
| Michael Booker | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 2.7% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 2.7% |
| David Alfonso | 6.3% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 2.5% |
| Ryan Bailey | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% |
| Brian Drumm | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.0% |
| Ian Liberty | 3.7% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.3% |
| Alejandro Monllor | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 11.1% |
| Kevin Laube | 12.7% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| William Haeger | 11.9% | 12.8% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Connor Corgard | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
| John Silvestri | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 14.3% | 19.8% |
| Cameron Fraser | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% |
| Lucas Adams | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Alexander Giordano | 1.4% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 15.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.