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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University4.05+4.70vs Predicted
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2Tufts University4.08+3.59vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.80+3.77vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.73+3.10vs Predicted
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5Washington College2.84+5.37vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.97+4.23vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College2.69+4.14vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University3.26+0.68vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont3.27+0.06vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.64-2.74vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University2.45+1.09vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.58-0.49vs Predicted
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13Harvard University3.49-4.88vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.25-4.96vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-6.76vs Predicted
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16Boston University3.00-6.00vs Predicted
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17University of Buffalo2.44-4.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.7Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
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5.59Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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6.77Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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7.1Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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10.37Washington College2.840.0%1st Place
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10.23Dartmouth College2.970.0%1st Place
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11.14Eckerd College2.690.0%1st Place
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8.68Northeastern University3.260.1%1st Place
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9.06University of Vermont3.270.0%1st Place
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7.26Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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12.09Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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11.51Connecticut College2.580.0%1st Place
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8.12Harvard University3.490.1%1st Place
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9.04St. Mary's College of Maryland3.250.0%1st Place
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8.24Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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10.0Boston University3.000.0%1st Place
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12.11University of Buffalo2.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Laube | 13.1% | 12.0% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| William Haeger | 12.0% | 12.7% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Connor Corgard | 8.8% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Ryan Bailey | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.6% |
| Christopher Price | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 6.2% |
| Alejandro Monllor | 3.9% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 10.3% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 2.8% |
| Michael Booker | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.3% |
| Lucas Adams | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% |
| John Silvestri | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 20.9% |
| Alexander Giordano | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 13.4% | 13.9% |
| Brian Drumm | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 2.3% |
| Ian Liberty | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.6% |
| David Alfonso | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.2% |
| Cameron Fraser | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% |
| Griffin Orr | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 13.2% | 18.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.