Race 5B

saisa-south-points-erau

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
James McGirr 6.5% 7.6% 8.1% 10.8% 10.1% 11.8% 11.4% 11.7% 12.5% 9.7%
Eden Nykamp 33.7% 22.6% 17.9% 11.8% 7.0% 4.0% 1.9% 0.7% 0.4% 0.0%
Hella Kornatzki 10.6% 12.2% 12.8% 13.3% 12.3% 12.6% 9.8% 8.4% 5.1% 3.0%
Stefanos Pappas 14.7% 18.1% 16.2% 13.8% 13.8% 9.4% 7.6% 3.6% 2.1% 0.8%
Coby Flannery 8.4% 9.7% 9.0% 10.4% 12.0% 11.2% 12.1% 11.2% 9.0% 6.8%
Connor Teague 4.5% 5.1% 6.6% 7.5% 8.6% 10.1% 11.9% 13.4% 16.4% 16.0%
Ella DesChamps 6.3% 7.3% 8.1% 9.8% 9.8% 11.1% 12.1% 12.8% 12.6% 10.1%
Brandon DePalma 5.2% 6.2% 7.8% 8.2% 9.4% 10.4% 11.3% 13.2% 15.0% 13.2%
Collin Lee 3.2% 3.6% 4.5% 4.8% 5.9% 7.2% 9.3% 12.8% 16.0% 32.8%
Kai Priester 7.0% 7.6% 9.0% 9.8% 11.1% 12.0% 12.6% 12.2% 10.9% 7.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.