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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University4.08+4.60vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.25+6.86vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.49+4.96vs Predicted
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4Stanford University4.05+1.91vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.97+4.82vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.73+1.17vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College2.69+4.12vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.80-1.28vs Predicted
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9University of Buffalo2.44+3.24vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-1.88vs Predicted
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11Boston University3.00-0.98vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University2.45-0.05vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.58-1.40vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University3.26-4.97vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.64-7.62vs Predicted
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16Washington College2.84-5.41vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont3.27-8.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.6Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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8.86St. Mary's College of Maryland3.250.1%1st Place
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7.96Harvard University3.490.1%1st Place
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5.91Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
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9.82Dartmouth College2.970.0%1st Place
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7.17Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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11.12Eckerd College2.690.0%1st Place
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6.72Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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12.24University of Buffalo2.440.0%1st Place
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8.12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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10.02Boston University3.000.0%1st Place
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11.95Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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11.6Connecticut College2.580.0%1st Place
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9.03Northeastern University3.260.0%1st Place
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7.38Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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10.59Washington College2.840.0%1st Place
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8.92University of Vermont3.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Haeger | 14.7% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Ian Liberty | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 2.4% |
| Brian Drumm | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.2% |
| Kevin Laube | 12.3% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Christopher Price | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% |
| Connor Corgard | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Alejandro Monllor | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 10.1% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Griffin Orr | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 13.1% | 20.7% |
| David Alfonso | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.9% |
| Cameron Fraser | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 5.5% |
| John Silvestri | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 18.8% |
| Alexander Giordano | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 15.4% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 4.8% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 4.1% | 2.6% |
| Lucas Adams | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Ryan Bailey | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 11.0% | 7.7% |
| Michael Booker | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 3.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.