Race 6B

saisa-south-points-erau

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Eden Nykamp 32.5% 23.7% 19.0% 12.0% 5.9% 4.2% 1.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
Stefanos Pappas 16.2% 18.1% 15.7% 15.1% 12.7% 8.8% 7.0% 4.3% 1.3% 0.9%
Coby Flannery 9.3% 8.2% 9.6% 12.0% 10.2% 11.7% 12.6% 10.9% 10.6% 4.9%
Hella Kornatzki 9.6% 12.2% 11.2% 12.7% 15.2% 12.6% 10.2% 8.4% 4.7% 3.4%
James McGirr 6.9% 7.3% 7.2% 9.6% 10.5% 11.3% 12.7% 13.9% 11.7% 8.9%
Brandon DePalma 4.8% 6.0% 8.3% 8.2% 9.8% 11.8% 11.3% 13.8% 13.0% 13.0%
Connor Teague 4.3% 4.7% 7.1% 7.4% 7.9% 9.7% 11.7% 12.2% 16.0% 19.0%
Kai Priester 6.5% 8.5% 9.6% 8.8% 11.3% 10.7% 12.2% 12.0% 11.8% 8.6%
Collin Lee 2.9% 3.6% 3.4% 5.4% 5.3% 8.0% 9.4% 11.1% 18.8% 32.1%
Ella DesChamps 7.1% 7.6% 8.8% 8.9% 11.2% 11.2% 11.3% 12.7% 11.8% 9.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.