← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Coby Flannery 9.1% 10.4% 12.5% 13.2% 13.0% 12.1% 11.2% 8.9% 7.0% 2.6%
Eden Nykamp 33.6% 26.9% 18.4% 11.2% 5.4% 3.2% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Hella Kornatzki 9.4% 14.0% 13.5% 15.3% 13.3% 13.1% 9.9% 6.9% 3.5% 1.1%
Stefanos Pappas 16.7% 17.4% 17.0% 15.1% 13.4% 9.7% 5.8% 3.5% 1.5% 0.2%
James McGirr 8.3% 7.4% 7.7% 10.8% 12.0% 12.5% 14.3% 13.8% 9.7% 3.5%
Connor Teague 5.8% 5.0% 6.6% 8.6% 11.2% 11.0% 13.8% 15.4% 15.5% 7.2%
Brandon DePalma 6.5% 5.9% 8.8% 7.6% 9.8% 13.4% 14.5% 15.5% 12.8% 5.2%
Brian Herbster 2.6% 3.5% 4.3% 5.5% 6.7% 8.6% 10.8% 14.1% 23.5% 20.4%
Ella DesChamps 6.8% 7.8% 9.2% 10.8% 11.5% 11.9% 13.2% 14.1% 11.2% 3.4%
Marco Distel 1.3% 1.6% 2.1% 1.9% 3.8% 4.6% 5.3% 7.8% 15.4% 56.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.