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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.64+6.14vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.49+5.88vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.00+6.87vs Predicted
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4Stanford University4.05+1.90vs Predicted
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5University of Buffalo2.44+6.88vs Predicted
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6Tufts University4.08-0.12vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.80-0.29vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.73-1.09vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University3.26+0.05vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College2.69+1.07vs Predicted
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11Washington College2.84-0.29vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-3.79vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont3.27-4.05vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University2.45-1.83vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College2.97-5.01vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College2.58-4.30vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland3.25-8.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.14Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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7.88Harvard University3.490.1%1st Place
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9.87Boston University3.000.0%1st Place
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5.9Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
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11.88University of Buffalo2.440.0%1st Place
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5.88Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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6.71Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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6.91Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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9.05Northeastern University3.260.0%1st Place
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11.07Eckerd College2.690.0%1st Place
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10.71Washington College2.840.0%1st Place
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8.21Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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8.95University of Vermont3.270.1%1st Place
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12.17Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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9.99Dartmouth College2.970.0%1st Place
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11.7Connecticut College2.580.0%1st Place
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8.98St. Mary's College of Maryland3.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Adams | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Brian Drumm | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.4% |
| Cameron Fraser | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 5.8% |
| Kevin Laube | 12.5% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Griffin Orr | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 13.5% | 17.6% |
| William Haeger | 10.7% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 9.0% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Connor Corgard | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 2.6% |
| Alejandro Monllor | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 10.9% |
| Ryan Bailey | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 10.6% |
| David Alfonso | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.1% |
| Michael Booker | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% |
| John Silvestri | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 19.3% |
| Christopher Price | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% |
| Alexander Giordano | 2.6% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 14.1% |
| Ian Liberty | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.