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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University0.84+2.59vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida0.11+3.07vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University-0.13+2.58vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida0.39+0.45vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.54-2.60vs Predicted
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6Florida Institute of Technology-0.29-0.08vs Predicted
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7Embry-Riddle University-0.90+0.33vs Predicted
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8Unknown School-0.13-2.37vs Predicted
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9Rollins College-0.49-2.69vs Predicted
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10University of Florida-1.84-1.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.59Jacksonville University0.8416.7%1st Place
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5.07University of South Florida0.118.8%1st Place
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5.58Jacksonville University-0.136.2%1st Place
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4.45University of South Florida0.3911.7%1st Place
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2.4University of South Florida1.5436.4%1st Place
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5.92Florida Institute of Technology-0.295.5%1st Place
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7.33Embry-Riddle University-0.902.1%1st Place
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5.63Unknown School-0.137.1%1st Place
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6.31Rollins College-0.494.2%1st Place
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8.72University of Florida-1.841.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Stefanos Pappas | 16.7% | 18.8% | 18.1% | 16.8% | 11.4% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
Coby Flannery | 8.8% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 13.5% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 7.0% | 2.0% |
Ella DesChamps | 6.2% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 15.8% | 12.4% | 9.5% | 3.0% |
Hella Kornatzki | 11.7% | 12.3% | 13.9% | 14.2% | 14.3% | 12.6% | 9.8% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 0.9% |
Eden Nykamp | 36.4% | 25.6% | 17.1% | 10.6% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Brandon DePalma | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 14.2% | 14.0% | 12.7% | 5.7% |
Brian Herbster | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 14.9% | 23.6% | 20.1% |
James McGirr | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 13.9% | 12.7% | 14.6% | 9.8% | 3.9% |
Connor Teague | 4.2% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 14.1% | 15.5% | 15.2% | 8.2% |
Marco Distel | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 16.9% | 56.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.