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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Stefanos Pappas 16.7% 18.8% 18.1% 16.8% 11.4% 8.0% 5.3% 3.5% 1.1% 0.2%
Coby Flannery 8.8% 10.2% 11.2% 12.2% 12.7% 13.5% 12.2% 10.4% 7.0% 2.0%
Ella DesChamps 6.2% 7.5% 9.3% 11.1% 11.8% 13.2% 15.8% 12.4% 9.5% 3.0%
Hella Kornatzki 11.7% 12.3% 13.9% 14.2% 14.3% 12.6% 9.8% 6.0% 4.1% 0.9%
Eden Nykamp 36.4% 25.6% 17.1% 10.6% 5.5% 2.9% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Brandon DePalma 5.5% 7.4% 8.3% 9.4% 10.2% 12.6% 14.2% 14.0% 12.7% 5.7%
Brian Herbster 2.1% 3.6% 4.7% 5.2% 7.4% 8.9% 9.2% 14.9% 23.6% 20.1%
James McGirr 7.1% 7.8% 8.2% 10.3% 11.6% 13.9% 12.7% 14.6% 9.8% 3.9%
Connor Teague 4.2% 5.6% 7.6% 7.8% 11.3% 10.4% 14.1% 15.5% 15.2% 8.2%
Marco Distel 1.2% 1.1% 1.5% 2.4% 3.6% 4.0% 5.5% 8.0% 16.9% 56.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.