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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.08+4.23vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.70+4.56vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College2.78+7.27vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.21+4.64vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.37+2.79vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.05+3.39vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont3.41+0.77vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College3.23+0.29vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.23-0.29vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-3.08vs Predicted
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11Stanford University3.72-4.25vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-2.54vs Predicted
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13University of Buffalo1.34+1.76vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.98-4.34vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.84-4.95vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University2.54-4.75vs Predicted
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17Washington College2.45-5.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.23Yale University4.080.2%1st Place
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6.56Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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10.27Eckerd College2.780.0%1st Place
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8.64Tufts University3.210.1%1st Place
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7.79Dartmouth College3.370.1%1st Place
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9.39Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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7.77University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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8.29Connecticut College3.230.1%1st Place
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8.71Brown University3.230.0%1st Place
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6.92Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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6.75Stanford University3.720.1%1st Place
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9.46St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.0%1st Place
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14.76University of Buffalo1.340.0%1st Place
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9.66Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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10.05Northeastern University2.840.0%1st Place
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11.25Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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11.49Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Barrows | 15.2% | 14.2% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Astwood | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Robert Savoie | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 11.6% | 8.4% | 4.6% |
| David Liebenberg | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 1.9% |
| Evan Read | 6.5% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| Michael Drumm | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 2.5% |
| Nate Jermain | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Bryce Kopp | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| Tyler Rice | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 1.6% |
| Alexander Stewart | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Oliver Toole | 11.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Jonathan Lutz | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 3.1% |
| Luke Miller | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 8.2% | 14.8% | 53.0% |
| Stewart Draheim | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 3.2% |
| Conor Lodge | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 4.8% |
| Robert Lippincott | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 13.1% | 8.9% |
| Eric Siegel | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 14.8% | 11.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.