← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston University3.70+5.49vs Predicted
-
2Brown University3.23+6.46vs Predicted
-
3Stanford University3.72+3.64vs Predicted
-
4University of Vermont3.41+3.87vs Predicted
-
5Dartmouth College3.37+2.77vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University3.21+2.73vs Predicted
-
7University of Buffalo1.34+7.72vs Predicted
-
8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+1.27vs Predicted
-
9Harvard University3.05+0.39vs Predicted
-
10Yale University4.08-4.72vs Predicted
-
11Salve Regina University2.54+0.24vs Predicted
-
12Connecticut College3.23-3.54vs Predicted
-
13Washington College2.45-1.39vs Predicted
-
14Eckerd College2.78-3.57vs Predicted
-
15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-8.02vs Predicted
-
16Roger Williams University2.98-6.48vs Predicted
-
17Northeastern University2.84-6.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.49Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
-
8.46Brown University3.230.1%1st Place
-
6.64Stanford University3.720.1%1st Place
-
7.87University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
-
7.77Dartmouth College3.370.1%1st Place
-
8.73Tufts University3.210.1%1st Place
-
14.72University of Buffalo1.340.0%1st Place
-
9.27St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
-
9.39Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
-
5.28Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
-
11.24Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
-
8.46Connecticut College3.230.1%1st Place
-
11.61Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
-
10.43Eckerd College2.780.0%1st Place
-
6.98Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
-
9.52Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
-
10.14Northeastern University2.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Astwood | 10.1% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Rice | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| Oliver Toole | 9.2% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Nate Jermain | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Evan Read | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
| David Liebenberg | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 1.5% |
| Luke Miller | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 13.1% | 53.6% |
| Jonathan Lutz | 5.5% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 3.2% |
| Michael Drumm | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 3.0% |
| Ian Barrows | 13.9% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Robert Lippincott | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 14.2% | 9.5% |
| Bryce Kopp | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 1.9% |
| Eric Siegel | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 15.8% | 9.9% |
| Robert Savoie | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 5.0% |
| Alexander Stewart | 9.5% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Stewart Draheim | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 2.8% |
| Conor Lodge | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 5.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.