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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University4.31+5.01vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63+6.63vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+9.13vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.93+7.67vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.35+5.10vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.46+3.30vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin3.31+3.09vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.89-0.21vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-1.46vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University3.36-0.33vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College3.00+0.37vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.67+1.03vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.98-6.04vs Predicted
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14Tufts University3.56-4.89vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College2.47-1.74vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania1.95-0.73vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College3.58-8.10vs Predicted
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18Washington College2.29-3.87vs Predicted
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19Harvard University4.50-13.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.01Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
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8.63Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.1%1st Place
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12.13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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11.67University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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10.1Boston University3.350.0%1st Place
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9.3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.460.1%1st Place
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10.09University of Wisconsin3.310.0%1st Place
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7.79Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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7.54Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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9.67Salve Regina University3.360.0%1st Place
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11.37SUNY Maritime College3.000.0%1st Place
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13.03Connecticut College2.670.0%1st Place
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6.96Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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9.11Tufts University3.560.1%1st Place
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13.26Eckerd College2.470.0%1st Place
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15.27University of Pennsylvania1.950.0%1st Place
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8.9Dartmouth College3.580.1%1st Place
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14.13Washington College2.290.0%1st Place
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5.04Harvard University4.500.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Bouchard | 11.4% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eamon Glackin | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Bradley Milliken | 2.9% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 6.4% |
| James Simmons | 1.9% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 4.0% |
| Matt Johnson | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 1.1% |
| Daniel Liberty | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| Leif Evensen | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.1% |
| Cam Cullman | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Kyle Carney | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Ted Green | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.7% |
| Max Rollins | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 9.8% |
| Colin Smith | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Amy Baxter | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 15.2% |
| Christina Johns | 1.1% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 10.0% | 14.7% | 32.6% |
| Edward Glackin | 5.6% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Mildred Conroy | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 13.5% | 18.4% |
| Tedd Himler | 14.1% | 13.5% | 13.9% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.