Race 3A

stu-nelson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Carmen Cowles 18.2% 16.8% 14.2% 11.7% 11.2% 7.8% 6.0% 4.9% 4.2% 2.9% 1.2% 0.7% 0.4%
Katherine Bennett 5.5% 5.7% 6.7% 7.4% 6.5% 7.6% 7.3% 7.8% 8.5% 10.5% 9.0% 9.6% 7.8%
Alexandra Talbot 3.5% 4.0% 3.5% 4.5% 4.7% 6.5% 5.7% 7.0% 8.0% 9.8% 11.4% 13.2% 18.3%
Dana Haig 10.2% 9.9% 8.7% 8.5% 8.8% 8.3% 8.9% 7.8% 8.2% 7.1% 6.2% 5.0% 2.4%
Brooke Shachoy 10.5% 8.3% 9.7% 8.7% 9.7% 9.0% 9.2% 7.4% 8.8% 6.9% 5.8% 4.0% 2.0%
Caroline Bayless 10.0% 11.4% 10.5% 10.7% 9.7% 9.8% 8.2% 8.7% 6.3% 6.1% 4.5% 2.9% 1.1%
AnaLucia Clarkson 3.6% 3.6% 4.7% 5.6% 5.6% 4.7% 6.2% 7.5% 8.2% 9.4% 9.4% 13.9% 17.6%
Marbella Marlo 7.6% 9.2% 9.8% 8.9% 8.8% 9.7% 10.1% 8.7% 8.2% 6.9% 6.5% 3.8% 1.8%
Claire Siegel-Wilson 5.3% 5.6% 5.3% 7.0% 7.0% 7.3% 8.4% 9.2% 9.6% 8.3% 10.3% 9.6% 7.0%
Emma Shakespeare 4.6% 5.8% 5.3% 5.0% 5.9% 6.5% 6.9% 7.7% 8.2% 9.2% 9.6% 12.2% 13.3%
Emily Bornarth 12.0% 11.5% 11.2% 11.2% 10.5% 9.9% 7.8% 8.2% 5.9% 5.4% 3.6% 1.9% 0.9%
Lucia Loosbrock 5.5% 4.7% 5.8% 6.6% 7.4% 7.1% 8.6% 8.5% 8.7% 8.3% 10.5% 9.9% 8.3%
Allison Marozza 3.4% 3.5% 4.5% 4.3% 4.2% 5.9% 6.5% 6.6% 7.3% 9.2% 11.9% 13.5% 19.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.