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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.37+6.80vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont3.41+5.62vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.70+3.68vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.72+2.63vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.84+4.88vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College3.23+2.65vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University2.54+4.16vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.23+0.35vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.05+0.43vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-0.66vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College2.78-0.56vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.21-3.42vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.98-3.35vs Predicted
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14Yale University4.08-8.61vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-8.06vs Predicted
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16Washington College2.45-4.38vs Predicted
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17University of Buffalo1.34-2.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.8Dartmouth College3.370.1%1st Place
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7.62University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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6.68Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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6.63Stanford University3.720.1%1st Place
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9.88Northeastern University2.840.0%1st Place
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8.65Connecticut College3.230.1%1st Place
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11.16Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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8.35Brown University3.230.1%1st Place
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9.43Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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9.34St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.0%1st Place
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10.44Eckerd College2.780.0%1st Place
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8.58Tufts University3.210.1%1st Place
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9.65Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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5.39Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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6.94Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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11.62Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
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14.85University of Buffalo1.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Read | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Nate Jermain | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Ryan Astwood | 9.3% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Oliver Toole | 9.6% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Conor Lodge | 3.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 5.1% |
| Bryce Kopp | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 1.5% |
| Robert Lippincott | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 12.9% | 7.7% |
| Tyler Rice | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 1.0% |
| Michael Drumm | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 3.1% |
| Jonathan Lutz | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 2.9% |
| Robert Savoie | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 6.2% |
| David Liebenberg | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 1.5% |
| Stewart Draheim | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 4.4% |
| Ian Barrows | 13.6% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Stewart | 9.6% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Eric Siegel | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 16.4% | 9.5% |
| Luke Miller | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 10.8% | 55.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.