Race 5A

stu-nelson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

23.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Brooke Shachoy 10.4% 8.3% 8.9% 8.9% 9.2% 9.3% 8.9% 8.5% 8.5% 6.8% 6.2% 3.1% 2.9%
Emma Shakespeare 4.9% 4.9% 4.9% 5.3% 6.2% 7.0% 5.5% 8.2% 8.6% 9.8% 9.9% 12.6% 12.2%
AnaLucia Clarkson 3.5% 4.9% 4.5% 3.9% 4.7% 5.1% 6.2% 7.6% 7.4% 9.4% 12.8% 13.5% 16.6%
Claire Siegel-Wilson 5.1% 5.9% 5.9% 6.2% 7.8% 7.0% 7.1% 8.5% 9.3% 9.5% 10.0% 9.3% 8.3%
Alexandra Talbot 4.4% 4.0% 4.5% 5.6% 5.8% 5.5% 6.3% 6.6% 7.8% 8.2% 9.6% 13.5% 18.1%
Marbella Marlo 9.5% 9.7% 8.6% 10.2% 8.9% 9.3% 9.0% 7.2% 8.0% 6.5% 6.8% 4.2% 2.1%
Lucia Loosbrock 5.7% 5.8% 5.8% 6.2% 7.3% 6.3% 7.8% 8.2% 8.6% 10.0% 9.8% 10.2% 8.5%
Dana Haig 8.6% 8.6% 8.9% 9.2% 8.6% 9.8% 9.5% 8.3% 7.6% 7.5% 5.7% 4.8% 2.7%
Carmen Cowles 16.8% 16.2% 15.2% 12.8% 9.6% 8.6% 7.2% 5.5% 3.0% 2.9% 1.2% 0.9% 0.2%
Emily Bornarth 11.1% 10.8% 12.2% 10.2% 10.0% 9.8% 8.6% 8.3% 6.2% 5.9% 3.7% 2.5% 0.8%
Katherine Bennett 5.3% 6.8% 6.8% 6.2% 7.3% 6.3% 7.2% 8.6% 9.8% 9.2% 10.1% 9.3% 7.0%
Caroline Bayless 10.3% 10.2% 10.1% 11.0% 9.2% 9.8% 8.9% 8.0% 7.8% 5.8% 4.5% 3.0% 1.3%
Allison Marozza 4.5% 4.0% 3.9% 4.5% 5.3% 6.2% 7.5% 6.4% 7.3% 8.3% 9.8% 13.1% 19.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.