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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.08+4.24vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont3.41+5.70vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.37+4.99vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.84+6.05vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College3.23+3.35vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.72+0.72vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College2.78+3.29vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.23+0.32vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.98+0.65vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.05-0.93vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University2.54+0.29vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-5.02vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-3.40vs Predicted
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14Boston University3.70-7.23vs Predicted
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15Tufts University3.21-6.41vs Predicted
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16University of Buffalo1.34-1.17vs Predicted
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17Washington College2.45-5.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.24Yale University4.080.2%1st Place
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7.7University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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7.99Dartmouth College3.370.1%1st Place
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10.05Northeastern University2.840.0%1st Place
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8.35Connecticut College3.230.1%1st Place
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6.72Stanford University3.720.1%1st Place
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10.29Eckerd College2.780.0%1st Place
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8.32Brown University3.230.1%1st Place
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9.65Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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9.07Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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11.29Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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6.98Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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9.6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.0%1st Place
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6.77Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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8.59Tufts University3.210.1%1st Place
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14.83University of Buffalo1.340.0%1st Place
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11.54Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Barrows | 15.5% | 12.8% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nate Jermain | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Evan Read | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% |
| Conor Lodge | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 4.9% |
| Bryce Kopp | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 1.8% |
| Oliver Toole | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Robert Savoie | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 4.2% |
| Tyler Rice | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 1.5% |
| Stewart Draheim | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 2.8% |
| Michael Drumm | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 2.4% |
| Robert Lippincott | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 14.5% | 10.3% |
| Alexander Stewart | 8.0% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Jonathan Lutz | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 3.5% |
| Ryan Astwood | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| David Liebenberg | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.1% |
| Luke Miller | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 13.3% | 52.8% |
| Eric Siegel | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 13.7% | 10.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.