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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.08+4.22vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+4.89vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.72+3.60vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.98+5.50vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.70+1.49vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.05+3.41vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont3.41+0.82vs Predicted
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8Washington College2.45+3.27vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.21-0.28vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College2.78+0.14vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College3.23-2.37vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.23-3.51vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-3.37vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.84-3.77vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College3.37-7.09vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University2.54-4.76vs Predicted
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17University of Buffalo1.34-2.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.22Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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6.89Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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6.6Stanford University3.720.1%1st Place
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9.5Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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6.49Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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9.41Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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7.82University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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11.27Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
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8.72Tufts University3.210.0%1st Place
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10.14Eckerd College2.780.0%1st Place
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8.63Connecticut College3.230.1%1st Place
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8.49Brown University3.230.1%1st Place
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9.63St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.0%1st Place
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10.23Northeastern University2.840.0%1st Place
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7.91Dartmouth College3.370.1%1st Place
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11.24Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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14.81University of Buffalo1.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Barrows | 14.5% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Stewart | 8.7% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Oliver Toole | 9.6% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Stewart Draheim | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 2.5% |
| Ryan Astwood | 9.9% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Michael Drumm | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 2.6% |
| Nate Jermain | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Eric Siegel | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 14.1% | 11.1% |
| David Liebenberg | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 1.5% |
| Robert Savoie | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 4.7% |
| Bryce Kopp | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 1.9% |
| Tyler Rice | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.0% |
| Jonathan Lutz | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 4.1% |
| Conor Lodge | 3.1% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 4.1% |
| Evan Read | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.5% |
| Robert Lippincott | 2.7% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 12.8% | 9.5% |
| Luke Miller | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 12.8% | 52.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.