Race 7A

stu-nelson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

23.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Emily Bornarth 12.1% 11.6% 11.6% 10.8% 10.0% 9.8% 8.3% 7.6% 6.7% 4.8% 3.3% 2.5% 0.9%
Carmen Cowles 17.9% 17.0% 13.2% 12.8% 10.9% 8.5% 6.9% 4.7% 4.0% 2.1% 1.3% 0.7% 0.1%
Marbella Marlo 8.5% 8.3% 9.2% 9.3% 10.2% 8.2% 8.2% 9.8% 8.9% 6.9% 5.9% 3.9% 2.7%
Claire Siegel-Wilson 4.5% 5.7% 6.8% 6.4% 6.9% 7.3% 8.2% 7.8% 9.5% 9.6% 10.1% 9.5% 7.8%
Dana Haig 9.2% 8.9% 8.8% 8.1% 9.6% 8.6% 9.1% 8.2% 8.0% 7.3% 7.0% 4.5% 2.5%
Alexandra Talbot 3.5% 4.6% 3.8% 3.9% 5.2% 5.9% 5.6% 6.9% 8.6% 10.0% 10.2% 13.3% 18.6%
Caroline Bayless 11.3% 9.2% 10.3% 10.8% 9.8% 9.9% 9.4% 8.6% 5.9% 5.9% 4.2% 3.5% 1.1%
Emma Shakespeare 3.9% 5.7% 5.9% 5.3% 5.7% 6.5% 7.4% 7.4% 7.7% 9.7% 10.2% 12.7% 12.0%
Brooke Shachoy 10.1% 9.5% 9.8% 9.8% 8.8% 9.0% 8.8% 8.8% 7.2% 6.8% 6.2% 3.0% 2.3%
Lucia Loosbrock 5.5% 5.5% 5.5% 6.8% 6.2% 7.0% 8.3% 7.8% 8.9% 9.0% 10.2% 10.0% 9.0%
Katherine Bennett 5.8% 6.7% 6.1% 7.2% 6.7% 7.2% 7.8% 9.2% 8.2% 8.6% 9.8% 9.0% 7.8%
AnaLucia Clarkson 4.0% 4.3% 5.1% 4.7% 4.5% 6.0% 6.2% 6.6% 8.2% 9.8% 11.2% 13.2% 16.2%
Allison Marozza 3.9% 2.9% 4.1% 4.0% 5.5% 6.0% 5.7% 6.7% 8.2% 9.7% 10.3% 14.1% 18.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.