← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University1.92+4.61vs Predicted
-
2University of Michigan0.77+6.91vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03+2.33vs Predicted
-
4Yale University2.42+0.20vs Predicted
-
5Connecticut College0.83+3.76vs Predicted
-
6Roger Williams University1.25+1.62vs Predicted
-
7University of South Florida1.09+1.25vs Predicted
-
8Tufts University0.83+0.66vs Predicted
-
92.13-2.76vs Predicted
-
10Cornell University1.70-3.93vs Predicted
-
11Harvard University1.79-4.78vs Predicted
-
12St. Mary's College of Maryland1.35-4.52vs Predicted
-
13Northeastern University1.18-5.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.61Brown University1.9210.8%1st Place
-
8.91University of Michigan0.773.3%1st Place
-
5.33U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.0312.4%1st Place
-
4.2Yale University2.4216.8%1st Place
-
8.76Connecticut College0.833.4%1st Place
-
7.62Roger Williams University1.256.2%1st Place
-
8.25University of South Florida1.094.4%1st Place
-
8.66Tufts University0.834.0%1st Place
-
6.242.139.4%1st Place
-
6.07Cornell University1.709.8%1st Place
-
6.22Harvard University1.798.0%1st Place
-
7.48St. Mary's College of Maryland1.355.8%1st Place
-
7.67Northeastern University1.185.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Bayless | 10.8% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Allison Marozza | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 14.4% | 18.8% |
| Emily Bornarth | 12.4% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Carmen Cowles | 16.8% | 17.1% | 15.6% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 15.1% | 17.0% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.4% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 12.0% |
| Alexandra Talbot | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 17.2% |
| Dana Haig | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 2.8% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.3% |
| Marbella Marlo | 8.0% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.1% |
| Katherine Bennett | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.