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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.70+5.51vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College3.23+6.36vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.21+5.52vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+5.51vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+1.80vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.05+3.38vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.72-0.41vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.98+1.31vs Predicted
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9Yale University4.08-3.49vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.23-1.59vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.84-0.79vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University2.54-0.87vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College2.78-2.54vs Predicted
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14Washington College2.45-2.35vs Predicted
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15University of Buffalo1.34-0.30vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont3.41-8.12vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College3.37-8.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.51Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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8.36Connecticut College3.230.1%1st Place
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8.52Tufts University3.210.1%1st Place
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9.51St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.0%1st Place
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6.8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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9.38Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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6.59Stanford University3.720.1%1st Place
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9.31Roger Williams University2.980.1%1st Place
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5.51Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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8.41Brown University3.230.1%1st Place
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10.21Northeastern University2.840.0%1st Place
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11.13Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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10.46Eckerd College2.780.0%1st Place
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11.65Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
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14.7University of Buffalo1.340.0%1st Place
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7.88University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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8.08Dartmouth College3.370.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Astwood | 10.6% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Bryce Kopp | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| David Liebenberg | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 1.9% |
| Jonathan Lutz | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 3.7% |
| Alexander Stewart | 9.3% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Michael Drumm | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 2.7% |
| Oliver Toole | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% |
| Stewart Draheim | 5.8% | 3.4% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 3.1% |
| Ian Barrows | 11.5% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Rice | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| Conor Lodge | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 4.9% |
| Robert Lippincott | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 12.0% | 13.7% | 8.0% |
| Robert Savoie | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 6.0% |
| Eric Siegel | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 16.0% | 10.4% |
| Luke Miller | 0.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 11.1% | 53.5% |
| Nate Jermain | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Evan Read | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 1.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.