Race 9A

stu-nelson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

23.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Marbella Marlo 8.8% 8.5% 9.0% 8.6% 9.8% 9.4% 7.9% 8.3% 8.4% 7.5% 7.2% 4.2% 2.2%
Carmen Cowles 16.5% 16.4% 13.6% 13.5% 11.9% 8.8% 6.1% 5.5% 3.9% 2.1% 1.1% 0.6% 0.1%
Katherine Bennett 6.4% 5.2% 7.2% 6.7% 6.7% 6.7% 8.2% 7.9% 9.6% 9.6% 9.2% 7.5% 9.2%
Allison Marozza 3.6% 3.7% 3.5% 5.9% 6.0% 5.0% 5.9% 6.8% 8.0% 10.2% 9.4% 13.4% 18.6%
Claire Siegel-Wilson 5.5% 5.7% 5.7% 5.8% 5.5% 6.9% 8.9% 7.9% 10.2% 9.2% 10.3% 9.8% 8.6%
Lucia Loosbrock 5.7% 5.9% 6.2% 7.3% 7.0% 7.1% 7.9% 8.2% 8.4% 9.3% 10.0% 9.2% 7.8%
Emma Shakespeare 4.7% 5.0% 5.1% 4.9% 6.4% 6.2% 8.5% 7.7% 7.9% 9.3% 10.8% 12.3% 11.3%
Alexandra Talbot 4.3% 4.8% 4.1% 3.6% 3.8% 5.8% 6.5% 7.8% 8.8% 7.8% 11.2% 13.9% 17.7%
Caroline Bayless 10.0% 10.2% 12.2% 10.0% 10.1% 9.5% 8.9% 7.4% 6.3% 5.9% 4.7% 3.1% 1.7%
Brooke Shachoy 8.6% 8.6% 9.1% 9.7% 8.9% 9.2% 9.3% 9.4% 7.8% 7.2% 6.0% 4.0% 2.2%
Dana Haig 8.8% 9.0% 7.8% 10.3% 7.9% 10.2% 8.3% 8.5% 7.4% 7.3% 6.3% 4.7% 3.4%
AnaLucia Clarkson 3.9% 4.5% 5.1% 4.4% 5.5% 6.9% 5.5% 6.6% 7.3% 9.0% 10.2% 14.8% 16.4%
Emily Bornarth 13.2% 12.4% 11.6% 9.5% 10.5% 8.6% 8.1% 7.9% 6.0% 5.5% 3.5% 2.5% 0.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.