Race 10A

stu-nelson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Caroline Bayless 10.1% 10.2% 10.8% 10.3% 10.3% 9.6% 8.7% 7.1% 7.6% 6.0% 4.0% 3.4% 1.7%
Carmen Cowles 16.6% 16.4% 13.9% 11.9% 11.5% 9.4% 7.3% 5.1% 3.2% 2.8% 1.4% 0.6% 0.1%
Brooke Shachoy 9.8% 9.6% 9.5% 8.6% 8.6% 8.2% 9.8% 9.7% 7.8% 6.9% 5.6% 4.5% 1.5%
Dana Haig 7.9% 9.0% 9.5% 8.6% 8.6% 9.9% 9.4% 9.1% 6.8% 7.2% 7.2% 3.9% 2.7%
Marbella Marlo 10.1% 9.0% 9.0% 8.8% 9.3% 8.2% 9.3% 8.8% 8.2% 7.1% 5.8% 4.1% 2.4%
Emma Shakespeare 4.0% 5.1% 5.3% 5.9% 5.7% 6.2% 6.0% 8.1% 9.2% 8.6% 11.6% 11.9% 12.4%
Claire Siegel-Wilson 5.3% 5.9% 6.1% 7.1% 7.1% 7.3% 6.3% 8.7% 9.3% 10.2% 8.2% 10.2% 8.1%
Katherine Bennett 5.7% 6.2% 5.9% 8.1% 7.2% 8.3% 7.4% 7.9% 8.3% 8.9% 9.0% 9.2% 7.7%
Allison Marozza 4.9% 3.5% 3.5% 4.7% 5.5% 5.7% 6.7% 7.1% 8.0% 8.2% 11.5% 12.7% 18.2%
AnaLucia Clarkson 4.6% 4.2% 5.3% 5.1% 4.4% 5.0% 6.4% 6.1% 8.7% 9.8% 10.8% 12.4% 17.1%
Alexandra Talbot 3.6% 3.4% 3.5% 4.2% 5.1% 5.7% 6.6% 6.7% 7.2% 9.2% 11.9% 14.5% 18.6%
Lucia Loosbrock 5.9% 5.9% 5.9% 6.2% 6.7% 6.6% 7.3% 7.9% 9.1% 9.4% 9.6% 10.7% 8.8%
Emily Bornarth 11.6% 11.7% 11.6% 10.5% 10.2% 9.8% 8.7% 7.8% 6.6% 5.5% 3.5% 1.9% 0.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.