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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.93+8.27vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College3.23+6.22vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.21+5.40vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College2.78+6.20vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.23+3.08vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+1.01vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+2.31vs Predicted
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8Boston University3.70-1.63vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.84+1.10vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.05-1.09vs Predicted
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11Yale University4.08-5.69vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University2.54-1.06vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.37-5.13vs Predicted
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14Washington College2.45-2.54vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.98-5.75vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont3.41-8.42vs Predicted
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17University of Buffalo1.34-2.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.27Stanford University2.930.1%1st Place
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8.22Connecticut College3.230.1%1st Place
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8.4Tufts University3.210.1%1st Place
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10.2Eckerd College2.780.0%1st Place
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8.08Brown University3.230.1%1st Place
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7.01Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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9.31St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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6.37Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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10.1Northeastern University2.840.0%1st Place
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8.91Harvard University3.050.1%1st Place
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5.31Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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10.94Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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7.87Dartmouth College3.370.1%1st Place
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11.46Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
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9.25Roger Williams University2.980.1%1st Place
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7.58University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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14.73University of Buffalo1.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 5.6% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 3.1% |
| Bryce Kopp | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| David Liebenberg | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 1.3% |
| Robert Savoie | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 5.1% |
| Tyler Rice | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.0% |
| Alexander Stewart | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Jonathan Lutz | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 2.7% |
| Ryan Astwood | 10.9% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Conor Lodge | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 5.2% |
| Michael Drumm | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 2.5% |
| Ian Barrows | 15.0% | 12.4% | 12.9% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Robert Lippincott | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 12.3% | 8.3% |
| Evan Read | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.8% |
| Eric Siegel | 1.8% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 11.9% | 16.0% | 9.7% |
| Stewart Draheim | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 3.1% |
| Nate Jermain | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Luke Miller | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 12.9% | 52.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.