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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College3.00+10.44vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.89+5.64vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.98+4.32vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+3.62vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin3.31+5.34vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University4.31-0.10vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.93+4.76vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.46+1.70vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63-0.56vs Predicted
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10Harvard University4.50-4.88vs Predicted
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11Tufts University3.56-2.08vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.58-2.82vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-1.06vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College2.67-1.12vs Predicted
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15Boston University3.35-5.30vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania1.95-0.75vs Predicted
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17Washington College2.29-2.95vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University3.36-8.33vs Predicted
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19Eckerd College2.47-5.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.44SUNY Maritime College3.000.0%1st Place
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7.64Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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7.32Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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7.62Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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10.34University of Wisconsin3.310.0%1st Place
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5.9Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
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11.76University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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9.7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.460.1%1st Place
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8.44Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.1%1st Place
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5.12Harvard University4.500.1%1st Place
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8.92Tufts University3.560.0%1st Place
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9.18Dartmouth College3.580.1%1st Place
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11.94U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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12.88Connecticut College2.670.0%1st Place
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9.7Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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15.25University of Pennsylvania1.950.0%1st Place
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14.05Washington College2.290.0%1st Place
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9.67Salve Regina University3.360.0%1st Place
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13.13Eckerd College2.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ted Green | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.3% |
| Cam Cullman | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Colin Smith | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 6.0% | 10.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Leif Evensen | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 1.5% |
| Sean Bouchard | 13.6% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| James Simmons | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% |
| Daniel Liberty | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
| Eamon Glackin | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Tedd Himler | 13.1% | 15.0% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Edward Glackin | 5.7% | 3.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Bradley Milliken | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 6.2% |
| Max Rollins | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 12.6% | 9.5% |
| Matt Johnson | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.5% |
| Christina Johns | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 14.8% | 31.9% |
| Mildred Conroy | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 11.0% | 14.5% | 19.9% |
| Kyle Carney | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 1.7% |
| Amy Baxter | 2.7% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 12.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.