Race 12A

stu-nelson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Carmen Cowles 17.9% 17.4% 14.3% 13.1% 9.6% 9.0% 4.9% 5.0% 4.0% 2.5% 1.5% 0.8% 0.1%
Claire Siegel-Wilson 5.5% 5.4% 6.5% 6.8% 7.3% 7.5% 8.2% 8.6% 9.4% 9.5% 9.0% 8.1% 8.2%
Dana Haig 8.5% 8.3% 8.6% 9.3% 8.1% 10.2% 8.3% 7.8% 8.1% 8.1% 7.0% 4.9% 2.8%
Katherine Bennett 5.3% 6.2% 5.9% 7.0% 6.6% 7.7% 8.8% 9.2% 8.6% 8.9% 9.0% 9.0% 7.5%
Brooke Shachoy 9.2% 9.6% 9.2% 8.6% 9.5% 9.0% 8.5% 8.5% 7.8% 7.0% 6.2% 4.5% 2.5%
Marbella Marlo 9.0% 10.0% 9.2% 8.9% 9.9% 9.1% 8.4% 7.5% 8.5% 6.5% 6.4% 4.3% 2.2%
Emily Bornarth 10.9% 11.3% 12.4% 11.2% 10.1% 7.9% 8.9% 8.8% 6.0% 4.5% 4.4% 2.5% 0.9%
Alexandra Talbot 4.6% 4.3% 4.5% 4.0% 5.6% 5.2% 6.3% 6.7% 7.0% 8.9% 10.3% 13.9% 18.6%
Allison Marozza 3.4% 3.8% 4.9% 5.5% 5.0% 5.3% 6.3% 6.2% 7.0% 8.6% 11.6% 14.4% 18.1%
Emma Shakespeare 4.8% 5.3% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 5.8% 7.0% 8.5% 8.5% 9.4% 10.3% 11.0% 12.9%
AnaLucia Clarkson 4.0% 3.8% 5.4% 4.5% 4.7% 7.1% 7.2% 6.8% 8.1% 10.1% 10.5% 12.4% 15.4%
Caroline Bayless 11.0% 9.9% 8.8% 9.8% 10.8% 9.2% 9.3% 8.4% 8.2% 5.9% 4.3% 3.0% 1.1%
Lucia Loosbrock 5.9% 4.7% 5.1% 5.9% 6.9% 6.8% 7.8% 8.0% 8.7% 10.1% 9.3% 11.3% 9.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.