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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.08+4.06vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.37+5.68vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.05+5.95vs Predicted
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4Washington College2.45+7.35vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+4.08vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.21+2.55vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College2.78+3.05vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont3.41-0.59vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University2.54+2.24vs Predicted
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10Boston University3.70-3.58vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College3.23-2.54vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-5.18vs Predicted
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13University of Buffalo1.34+1.71vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.84-3.95vs Predicted
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15Stanford University2.93-5.51vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University2.98-6.72vs Predicted
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17Brown University3.23-8.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.06Yale University4.080.2%1st Place
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7.68Dartmouth College3.370.1%1st Place
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8.95Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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11.35Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
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9.08St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.0%1st Place
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8.55Tufts University3.210.1%1st Place
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10.05Eckerd College2.780.0%1st Place
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7.41University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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11.24Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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6.42Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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8.46Connecticut College3.230.1%1st Place
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6.82Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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14.71University of Buffalo1.340.0%1st Place
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10.05Northeastern University2.840.0%1st Place
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9.49Stanford University2.930.0%1st Place
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9.28Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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8.41Brown University3.230.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Barrows | 16.0% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Evan Read | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Michael Drumm | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 2.7% |
| Eric Siegel | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 13.9% | 11.0% |
| Jonathan Lutz | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 2.7% |
| David Liebenberg | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Robert Savoie | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 3.6% |
| Nate Jermain | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Robert Lippincott | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 10.6% | 14.4% | 8.2% |
| Ryan Astwood | 10.0% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Bryce Kopp | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.0% |
| Alexander Stewart | 8.4% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Luke Miller | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 14.2% | 53.9% |
| Conor Lodge | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 4.9% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 3.8% |
| Stewart Draheim | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 2.8% |
| Tyler Rice | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 3.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.