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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+5.61vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.37+5.67vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.08+2.18vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.21+4.44vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont3.41+2.40vs Predicted
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6Washington College2.45+5.50vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University2.54+4.00vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+1.06vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.98+0.48vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.93-0.63vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College3.23-2.55vs Predicted
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12Harvard University3.05-2.97vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.84-2.98vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College2.78-3.79vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.23-6.73vs Predicted
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16Boston University3.70-9.49vs Predicted
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17University of Buffalo1.34-2.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.61Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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7.67Dartmouth College3.370.1%1st Place
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5.18Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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8.44Tufts University3.210.1%1st Place
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7.4University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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11.5Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
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11.0Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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9.06St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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9.48Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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9.37Stanford University2.930.0%1st Place
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8.45Connecticut College3.230.1%1st Place
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9.03Harvard University3.050.1%1st Place
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10.02Northeastern University2.840.0%1st Place
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10.21Eckerd College2.780.0%1st Place
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8.27Brown University3.230.1%1st Place
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6.51Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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14.78University of Buffalo1.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Stewart | 10.4% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Evan Read | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Ian Barrows | 13.6% | 13.8% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| David Liebenberg | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 1.2% |
| Nate Jermain | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Eric Siegel | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 13.7% | 11.4% |
| Robert Lippincott | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 6.9% |
| Jonathan Lutz | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 2.5% |
| Stewart Draheim | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 3.2% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 3.0% |
| Bryce Kopp | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 1.0% |
| Michael Drumm | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 3.0% |
| Conor Lodge | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.6% |
| Robert Savoie | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 4.7% |
| Tyler Rice | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 1.4% |
| Ryan Astwood | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Luke Miller | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 11.7% | 54.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.