← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+8.13vs Predicted
-
2Harvard University3.16+5.67vs Predicted
-
3Yale University3.57+3.27vs Predicted
-
4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69+2.03vs Predicted
-
5Connecticut College2.96+3.46vs Predicted
-
6Washington College2.71+3.39vs Predicted
-
7Stanford University3.90-1.66vs Predicted
-
8Roger Williams University2.11+3.25vs Predicted
-
9Dartmouth College3.18-1.33vs Predicted
-
10Tufts University3.41-3.13vs Predicted
-
11University of Vermont3.51-4.45vs Predicted
-
12Northeastern University2.16-0.78vs Predicted
-
13Boston University3.13-5.19vs Predicted
-
14Brown University3.27-6.77vs Predicted
-
15Eckerd College2.43-4.51vs Predicted
-
16University of Buffalo0.75-1.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
-
7.67Harvard University3.160.1%1st Place
-
6.27Yale University3.570.1%1st Place
-
6.03St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.1%1st Place
-
8.46Connecticut College2.960.0%1st Place
-
9.39Washington College2.710.0%1st Place
-
5.34Stanford University3.900.1%1st Place
-
11.25Roger Williams University2.110.0%1st Place
-
7.67Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
-
6.87Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
-
6.55University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
-
11.22Northeastern University2.160.0%1st Place
-
7.81Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
-
7.23Brown University3.270.1%1st Place
-
10.49Eckerd College2.430.0%1st Place
-
14.62University of Buffalo0.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Paggi | 3.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 1.9% |
| Gram Slattery | 5.8% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.4% |
| Max Nickbarg | 10.8% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Bradley Adam | 10.8% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Bothwick | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 0.9% |
| Charles Nunn | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 3.2% |
| Mateo Vargas | 14.9% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hollerbach | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 13.1% | 19.7% | 9.4% |
| Ian Storck | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Dan Nickerson | 9.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| OJ O'Connell | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Peter Christensen | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 18.4% | 10.3% |
| Brendan Cook | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Nathan Allman | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Walker Banks | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 14.0% | 12.8% | 4.8% |
| Rory Mess | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 11.8% | 64.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.