Race 6B

stu-nelson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Emma Cowles 22.6% 19.7% 14.9% 12.6% 9.6% 8.1% 5.5% 3.2% 2.0% 1.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Blaire McCarthy 6.2% 7.4% 7.5% 8.3% 8.5% 8.3% 8.8% 10.0% 10.9% 9.4% 7.3% 5.2% 2.1%
Sydney Monahan 7.0% 6.7% 8.0% 7.8% 9.0% 9.2% 8.8% 9.7% 8.6% 8.6% 8.2% 5.9% 2.5%
Meredith Moran 10.5% 10.8% 10.7% 11.8% 10.1% 10.2% 9.4% 8.9% 5.9% 6.5% 3.3% 1.4% 0.5%
Brooke Schmelz 9.0% 8.4% 10.5% 10.8% 10.0% 10.5% 10.2% 9.2% 8.7% 6.1% 3.6% 2.4% 0.7%
Chloe Holder 4.9% 6.2% 6.7% 6.6% 6.3% 7.8% 8.2% 9.9% 10.1% 10.1% 11.0% 8.0% 4.2%
Madison Bashaw 9.2% 10.1% 9.8% 10.3% 11.3% 9.6% 9.3% 8.2% 7.5% 5.7% 5.4% 2.9% 0.7%
Cordelia Burn 14.5% 13.1% 11.8% 12.7% 10.9% 8.5% 9.2% 7.4% 5.2% 3.4% 2.4% 0.7% 0.1%
Emma Snead 6.6% 7.2% 7.5% 6.3% 9.2% 9.1% 9.7% 9.7% 8.9% 9.0% 8.3% 5.8% 2.5%
Grace Woodcock 2.9% 3.3% 3.6% 4.1% 4.6% 5.7% 5.7% 7.4% 10.3% 10.5% 13.0% 15.7% 13.4%
Christiana Scheibner 2.6% 2.8% 3.3% 3.5% 3.5% 5.0% 6.2% 5.5% 7.1% 10.8% 13.1% 17.3% 19.5%
Hailey Pemberton 2.5% 2.4% 2.8% 2.5% 3.9% 4.2% 5.2% 5.9% 8.0% 10.0% 13.4% 17.1% 22.3%
Ashley Arruda 1.4% 1.9% 3.0% 2.7% 3.2% 4.0% 3.8% 5.0% 6.7% 8.8% 10.4% 17.5% 31.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.