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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77+4.68vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.55+1.58vs Predicted
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3Cornell University1.88+2.44vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan0.39+5.36vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.44+2.35vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.80+0.77vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76-1.35vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University0.60+0.92vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida1.44-2.17vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College0.34-0.28vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University0.17-0.78vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60-5.26vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.10-8.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.68Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.778.6%1st Place
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3.58Yale University2.5522.9%1st Place
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5.44Cornell University1.8810.8%1st Place
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9.36University of Michigan0.393.1%1st Place
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7.35Tufts University1.444.9%1st Place
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6.77Brown University1.805.9%1st Place
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5.65St. Mary's College of Maryland1.769.3%1st Place
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8.92Roger Williams University0.602.8%1st Place
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6.83University of South Florida1.446.7%1st Place
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9.72Connecticut College0.342.5%1st Place
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10.22Northeastern University0.171.4%1st Place
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6.74U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.606.9%1st Place
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4.74Harvard University2.1014.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Brooke Schmelz | 8.6% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
Emma Cowles | 22.9% | 16.1% | 16.7% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Meredith Moran | 10.8% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
Christiana Scheibner | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 14.3% | 17.0% | 19.0% |
Chloe Holder | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 3.7% |
Blaire McCarthy | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 2.2% |
Madison Bashaw | 9.3% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
Grace Woodcock | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 15.9% | 13.8% |
Sydney Monahan | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 1.8% |
Hailey Pemberton | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 18.6% | 23.2% |
Ashley Arruda | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 17.8% | 32.1% |
Emma Snead | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 2.5% |
Cordelia Burn | 14.1% | 14.1% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.