Race 8B

stu-nelson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Brooke Schmelz 9.8% 10.9% 9.3% 9.8% 11.3% 10.2% 8.9% 8.9% 7.5% 6.2% 4.5% 1.8% 0.8%
Emma Cowles 22.7% 18.2% 16.3% 13.3% 9.7% 8.4% 4.3% 3.5% 2.0% 0.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.1%
Chloe Holder 6.2% 6.1% 6.2% 5.4% 6.6% 7.8% 9.6% 9.4% 9.6% 10.8% 9.3% 8.7% 4.4%
Blaire McCarthy 6.4% 7.1% 8.3% 7.6% 9.3% 8.3% 10.0% 9.7% 9.4% 9.0% 7.0% 5.9% 1.9%
Cordelia Burn 13.2% 12.6% 11.8% 13.0% 10.4% 10.7% 8.4% 6.9% 5.3% 4.2% 2.5% 0.9% 0.1%
Meredith Moran 10.5% 10.1% 10.4% 12.3% 10.4% 10.5% 9.8% 8.8% 5.9% 5.5% 3.9% 1.3% 0.4%
Grace Woodcock 2.9% 3.0% 4.2% 4.0% 4.5% 5.1% 6.2% 7.8% 10.1% 10.0% 14.6% 14.8% 12.8%
Emma Snead 6.7% 6.7% 7.7% 7.5% 7.9% 8.5% 9.0% 10.2% 10.8% 9.8% 7.0% 6.4% 1.9%
Madison Bashaw 9.3% 10.7% 9.3% 10.8% 9.0% 10.8% 10.1% 8.6% 8.2% 5.7% 4.5% 2.1% 0.9%
Sydney Monahan 6.6% 7.4% 6.6% 7.2% 9.2% 8.7% 8.9% 8.6% 10.6% 10.1% 8.8% 4.9% 2.3%
Christiana Scheibner 2.4% 2.5% 4.2% 3.9% 4.3% 4.3% 5.9% 6.5% 7.1% 10.5% 13.3% 16.8% 18.2%
Hailey Pemberton 1.9% 2.6% 3.1% 3.3% 4.0% 4.0% 5.5% 5.9% 6.5% 9.2% 13.0% 17.3% 23.6%
Ashley Arruda 1.3% 1.9% 2.5% 1.8% 3.2% 2.5% 3.5% 5.1% 7.0% 8.4% 11.4% 18.7% 32.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.