Race 9B

stu-nelson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Brooke Schmelz 11.1% 10.0% 11.0% 10.4% 9.7% 10.0% 8.8% 8.3% 7.1% 6.9% 4.0% 2.1% 0.7%
Emma Cowles 22.6% 19.1% 15.4% 12.7% 9.8% 8.0% 4.6% 3.5% 2.3% 1.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
Chloe Holder 5.7% 4.7% 5.7% 7.2% 6.5% 8.1% 8.8% 11.2% 10.2% 10.1% 9.4% 7.5% 5.0%
Emma Snead 6.6% 7.8% 8.6% 7.5% 8.8% 8.8% 9.0% 10.0% 8.1% 9.4% 8.1% 4.5% 2.7%
Grace Woodcock 3.4% 3.8% 3.4% 4.2% 4.3% 5.0% 6.7% 8.5% 9.0% 11.2% 13.7% 14.8% 12.2%
Madison Bashaw 9.0% 8.9% 8.9% 11.1% 10.4% 11.2% 10.1% 9.3% 7.0% 6.6% 4.7% 2.5% 0.4%
Meredith Moran 9.2% 11.0% 12.2% 11.1% 10.8% 9.2% 9.6% 8.6% 7.4% 5.2% 3.6% 1.7% 0.5%
Blaire McCarthy 6.2% 7.8% 7.5% 7.0% 8.2% 8.5% 8.9% 8.6% 9.9% 10.4% 8.8% 5.1% 2.8%
Sydney Monahan 7.3% 6.7% 6.6% 7.9% 7.3% 8.0% 9.3% 10.1% 11.2% 8.8% 8.1% 6.0% 2.8%
Hailey Pemberton 2.2% 2.5% 2.9% 2.8% 3.8% 4.9% 4.8% 5.4% 7.3% 8.8% 14.3% 18.8% 21.7%
Cordelia Burn 12.1% 12.6% 12.9% 12.2% 13.2% 10.5% 8.8% 6.0% 6.1% 3.2% 1.6% 0.7% 0.1%
Christiana Scheibner 2.6% 2.6% 2.9% 3.6% 4.3% 4.8% 5.7% 5.3% 9.0% 10.3% 13.1% 17.1% 18.6%
Ashley Arruda 2.0% 2.5% 2.1% 2.3% 3.2% 3.2% 4.9% 5.1% 5.5% 7.8% 10.1% 19.0% 32.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.