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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University4.50+4.31vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.98+5.27vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.89+4.67vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63+4.66vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University4.31+1.17vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.93+5.51vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.58+1.96vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College3.00+3.62vs Predicted
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9Washington College2.29+4.94vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.46-0.65vs Predicted
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11Tufts University3.56-2.05vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-4.05vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin3.31-3.13vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania1.95+1.47vs Predicted
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15Boston University3.35-5.27vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-3.92vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College2.67-4.29vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University3.36-8.33vs Predicted
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19Eckerd College2.47-5.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.31Harvard University4.500.1%1st Place
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7.27Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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7.67Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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8.66Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.1%1st Place
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6.17Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
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11.51University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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8.96Dartmouth College3.580.1%1st Place
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11.62SUNY Maritime College3.000.0%1st Place
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13.94Washington College2.290.0%1st Place
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9.35U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.460.0%1st Place
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8.95Tufts University3.560.0%1st Place
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7.95Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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9.87University of Wisconsin3.310.0%1st Place
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15.47University of Pennsylvania1.950.0%1st Place
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9.73Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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12.08U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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12.71Connecticut College2.670.0%1st Place
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9.67Salve Regina University3.360.0%1st Place
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13.11Eckerd College2.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tedd Himler | 13.5% | 14.1% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Colin Smith | 9.1% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Cam Cullman | 8.7% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Eamon Glackin | 5.3% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% |
| Sean Bouchard | 9.1% | 12.4% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| James Simmons | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.0% |
| Edward Glackin | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Ted Green | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 4.5% |
| Mildred Conroy | 1.6% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 11.8% | 14.0% | 18.8% |
| Daniel Liberty | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 7.7% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Leif Evensen | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.3% |
| Christina Johns | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 10.5% | 15.5% | 33.2% |
| Matt Johnson | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 1.9% |
| Bradley Milliken | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 6.0% |
| Max Rollins | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 12.4% | 10.1% |
| Kyle Carney | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 1.3% |
| Amy Baxter | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 11.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.