Race 1C

stu-nelson

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

23.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Annie Buelt 7.2% 8.6% 8.9% 10.1% 10.8% 9.3% 9.7% 8.6% 7.8% 8.2% 4.9% 4.0% 1.9%
Mia Nicolosi 35.0% 24.3% 15.8% 10.9% 7.5% 3.6% 1.5% 1.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Brielle Willoughby 17.8% 16.2% 14.9% 14.4% 10.4% 9.8% 6.2% 4.0% 3.4% 1.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
Lucija Ruzevic 5.8% 7.1% 8.5% 7.8% 9.6% 8.0% 9.4% 10.3% 8.2% 8.9% 6.9% 5.3% 4.0%
Lily Flack 4.1% 4.9% 5.5% 6.2% 6.6% 8.9% 7.2% 9.4% 10.1% 8.8% 9.4% 10.4% 8.3%
Luciana Solorzano 2.2% 2.5% 3.6% 3.4% 4.0% 4.9% 6.6% 6.5% 7.2% 8.6% 12.2% 13.9% 24.3%
Lauren Krim 2.3% 3.4% 3.1% 4.3% 6.0% 5.4% 5.2% 7.8% 8.3% 8.6% 9.7% 14.4% 21.5%
Mary McLauchlin 3.9% 4.2% 5.5% 6.0% 6.4% 7.4% 8.5% 8.8% 8.0% 9.9% 9.8% 11.2% 10.4%
Annika Fedde 5.4% 5.9% 8.0% 8.5% 8.8% 11.0% 9.8% 9.3% 9.8% 8.0% 7.9% 5.4% 2.2%
Julia Wyatt 5.3% 8.3% 8.6% 9.7% 8.7% 9.1% 10.9% 9.0% 8.5% 8.2% 6.7% 4.5% 2.5%
Aili Moffet 3.5% 4.1% 5.7% 7.0% 7.5% 6.8% 8.1% 8.6% 10.0% 10.3% 10.0% 10.1% 8.3%
Caylin Schnoor 3.8% 5.2% 6.3% 6.6% 7.1% 7.7% 8.7% 7.2% 9.8% 9.0% 10.8% 9.4% 8.2%
Sophia Montgomery 3.8% 5.3% 5.7% 5.0% 6.3% 8.1% 8.2% 9.4% 8.6% 9.8% 10.6% 11.1% 8.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.